Nuggets vs. Warriors prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 5 best bets from model on 86-58 run

Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets are playing a crucial Game 5 on Wednesday at 10 p.m. ET. Golden State won the first three games, but Denver won in the last game. The Warriors are favored by 8.5 points. SportsLine's computer model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,00 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons.

Golden State Warriors host Denver Nuggets in the NBA playoffs. The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Denver is 10-3 AET in its last 13 road games and 10/3 in last five home matches.

Nuggets vs. Warriors is a 2022 NBA playoff game. The Nuggets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games. Golden State is 5-0 ATC in its last 5 home games and is 8-5 AET.

Golden State has a lethal backcourt filled with sharpshooters. Guard Klay Thompson is an elite 3-point marksman. Jordan Poole is another scoring option for the Warriors.

Nikola Jokic is leading the team in points (31.2), rebounds (11.8), and assists (5. 2) JOKic recorded three double-doubles and had a monster performance in the Game 4 win. Aaron Gordon is scoring 13.5 points and seven rebounds per game. Gordon has scored 18-plus in back-to-back games.

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total and projects 222 combined points for Nuggets vs. Warriors. One side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations.