Oilers picks and props vs. Golden Knights Feb. 6: Bet on the over, McDavid to exceed shot total

The Edmonton Oilers look to keep their winning streak alive against the Vegas Golden Knights.

The pregame narrative: The Oilers can extend their streak to 17 games, but I'm staying away from picking a side. Taking into account the history between these two teams, the over is a strong play. Additionally, Connor McDavid holds value to exceed a relatively low shot total.

NHL oddsas of 11:42 a.m. ET on 02/06/2024.

Oilers picks vs. Golden Knights

Best bet:Over 6 goals (-118)

Both of these teams have taken part in plenty of high-scoring games this season.

The over is 14-10 in the Golden Knights' last 24 games, including three out of their last four outings before the All-Star break. Vegas is averaging 3.28 goals per game at home this season, scoring 12 goals over its last three games at T-Mobile Arena.

While the over is just 4-12 during the Oilers' current winning streak, they have scored four or more goals in nine of 16 games, which means Edmonton is more than capable of pulling its weight for the over tonight.

Vegas has also struggled to keep the puck out of its net in losses recently. The Golden Knights have allowed 11 goals over their last two losses, with goalie Logan Thompson holding a combined save percentage of .850 in those contests.

Each of the last three matchups between these two teams has gone over, and those games featured a combined 23 goals. They met in the second round of the playoffs last season and the over was 3-1-2 in that series.

Key stat: The over is 7-1-2 at this number across Vegas and Edmonton's last 10 meetings.

Quick pick

McDavid over 3.5 shots (+100): McDavid has cleared this total in three straight games, as well as five of the last six.

The Oilers' captain is fresh off of winning the precision shooting contest at the All-Star Skills and is at even money to get at least four shots tonight.

McDavid faces a favourable matchup with the Golden Knights, who average 30.70 shots against per game and have allowed 109 shots over their last three games.

This bodes well for a team like Edmonton, which leads the league in shots per game (33.78).