Oilers picks vs. Red Wings Feb. 13: Bet on Red Wings to cover as underdogs
The Detroit Red Wings are on the road and looking to upset the Edmonton Oilers tonight.
The pregame narrative: The Red Wings have been on a roll lately and hold value to cover the spread as underdogs against the Oilers. Additionally, fading Edmonton's team total is a strong play in what should be a low-scoring affair.
NHL oddsas of 2:52 p.m. ET on 02/13/2024.
Oilers picks vs. Red Wings
Best Bet:Red Wings +1.5 (-125)
Detroit has been excellent against the spread both recently and on the season as a whole.
The Red Wings are 31-20 against the puck line this year and have covered +1.5 in each of their last three games, according to Scores and Odds.
Detroit is also 7-2-1 over its last 10 games, winning four of those games outright as underdogs. The Wings outscored opponents 34-25 over that stretch and currently average the fourth-most goals per game in the NHL (3.49).
Edmonton, on the other hand, has lost two of its last three games, with the only win coming against the 30th-placed Anaheim Ducks. The Oilers were most recently shut out by the Los Angeles Kings on Saturday, 4-0.
Stuart Skinner had a rough game in L.A., allowing three goals and finishing with a save percentage of .880. Skinner is starting tonight and has played only one game against Detroit in his career, allowing three goals in a losing effort.
When these two teams met in January, Detroit covered the spread as underdogs in a 3-2 overtime loss.
Key stat: Detroit has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games as underdogs (88.9%).
Quick pick
Oilers under 3.5 goals (+130): Edmonton has been held under four goals in each of its last three losses.
The Oilers have played 23 games with fewer than four goals this season and lost 15 of those contests in the process. It's a straightforward formula that's easier in theory then practice, but if you can limit Connor McDavid and Co., you can beat Edmonton.
Detroit, in contrast, has allowed three or fewer goals in each of its last four games. The Red Wings have limited teams to under four goals in 29 of 51 games this season, and are allowing only 2.50 goals per game in their last 10.
The Oilers are also likely to face Alex Lyon in net, who holds a goals-against average of 2.57 and a .922 SV% in his last 10 starts.
