Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder (43-19) aim to build on a seven-game home winning run when hosting the Miami Heat (35-27) on Friday, March 8, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET.

The Thunder head into their game against the Heat as an 8.5-point favorite. The game’s over/under is set at 225.

Thunder vs. Heat Betting Odds

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 3:30 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Spread: Oklahoma City -8.5
• Total: 225
• Moneyline: Oklahoma City -362, Miami +287

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 8.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (225)
  

• Prediction:
  Thunder 119 – Heat 109

• Oklahoma City has been chosen as the favorite in 46 games this year and has walked away with the win 34 times (73.9%) in those games.
• This season, Oklahoma City has come away with a win 13 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -362 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Oklahoma City has an implied victory probability of 78.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

• Miami has compiled a 10-18 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.7% of those games).
• Miami has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +287 or longer.
• Based on this game’s moneyline, Miami’s implied win probability is 25.8%.

• The Thunder score 11 more points per game (121) than the Heat allow (110).
• Oklahoma City has a 35-14 record against the spread and a 39-10 record overall when scoring more than 110 points.
• Miami is 17-10 against the spread and 22-5 overall when it scores more than 113.4 points.
• Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 22-6-1 and a 24-5 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 110.7 points.
• The Thunder are the NBA’s second-ranked scoring team (121 PPG), while the Heat rank sixth in points per game allowed (110) in the league.
• Miami’s squad is currently the 27th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (110.7 PPG), while Oklahoma City’s team is 13th in points allowed per game (113.4).
• The Thunder have out-scored their opponents by a total of 471 points this season (7.6 points per game on average), and the Heat have put up 45 more points than their opponents on the year (0.7 per game).

• Oklahoma City has an average implied point total of 119.8 this season, which is 2.8 points higher than its implied total in Friday’s game (117).
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has put up more than 117 points in 41 games.
• The average implied point total on the year for Miami (113.8) is 5.8 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (108).

• Game Day: Friday, March 8, 2024
• Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: KSBI and BSSUN
• Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Arena: Paycom Center
• TV Channel: Bally Sports
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