Oregon football vs. Washington predictions, odds for Pac-12 title game

No. 5 Oregon football will be gunning for revenge when they take on the No. 3 Washington Huskies at 5 p.m. Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on ABC in the Pac-12 championship.

As of Thursday morning, Fanduel Sportsbook has the Ducks as 9.5-point favorites on a neutral field. Oregon is -360 on the moneyline while Washington is +280. The over/under (point total) is set at 65.5.

The Ducks are coming off a 31-7 win over Oregon State at home last week, while the Huskies scraped past Washington State, 24-21.  

Here's what national media are saying ahead of Oregon's rematch Friday with Washington.

Bill Bender writes: “The final Pac-12 championship and perhaps Heisman Trophy race between Bo Nix and Michael Penix Jr. are on the line here. They combined for 669 passing yards and six touchdowns in the first meeting. It was worth noting that in the last two seasons, the Pac-12 champion won the regular season matchup and rematch, so to dismiss Washington’s high-powered offense is not the best strategy. Oregon coach Dan Lanning was second-guessed for some fourth-down decisions in that game, and the Ducks learn from the experience. This will be the closest game among the Power 5 conference championships."

Pick: Oregon 36, Washington 31

Sports Illustrated: Ducks get revenge

James Parks writes: “The winner of the last-ever Pac-12 championship game should be a certainty to make the College Football Playoff. That goes for the Ducks, too, who have played some of the most consistent, balanced, and dominant football in the country since losing to the Huskies midseason. Oregon presents a credible defensive challenge to Washington, which has won games by just six points on average in Pac-12 play."

Pick: Oregon wins

BetMGM: Oregon covers

Chase Kiddy writes: “Washington is undefeated and already owns a head-to-head win over Oregon. A Pac-12 championship will put the Huskies back in the College Football Playoff. So why are they nearly 10-point dogs in Las Vegas against the Ducks? The answer, fair or unfair, is that Oregon has just played way better football since these two teams met in late October. Washington has played six games, and four of them were one-possession games … I feel pretty strongly that the Ducks will win this rematch, so the only question is whether or not I want to lay nearly 10 points against an undefeated team. That’s a harder puzzle to solve, but with 60% of tickets at BetMGM backing the square public dog, I will go ahead and buy a little bit of Oregon.”

Pick: Oregon -9.5

247 Sports: Line is just a little too big, but Ducks win

Chris Hummer writes: “Do I think Oregon is probably a bit better? Yeah. The advanced stats indicate it. Recent results indicate it. But these two teams have already played, and Washington won that game. It wasn’t a fluke. Both teams played well. Washington played better. But I do think Oregon can make the Huskies reasonably one dimensional – Washington only had 99 yards rushing the first time around – and I just trust the Ducks offense more right now."

Pick: Oregon 35, Washington 31

ESPN: Football Power Index (FPI) favors Oregon

The measurement of a team’s strength and how many points above or below an average team is favors Oregon, giving them an 75.8% chance to win outright.

FPI prediction: Oregon by 9.7

Bleacher Report: Ducks win a close one

Joe Tansey writes: “Oregon played the more consistent football since the first meeting with Washington. The Ducks should be favored in Las Vegas despite being further down the rankings than the Huskies … Oregon’s defense can be trusted more to get stops against Penix, and this time around, it needs to make sure there is a larger gap in the fourth quarter so that the Huskies can’t produce more fourth-quarter heroics. Friday night could also turn into a Heisman coronation for Nix, who is looking to become the second straight Pac-12 quarterback to win the award after Caleb Williams earned it in 2022.”