Padres vs Phillies Prediction
The San Diego Padres will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres are 43-47 this season and they have won five of their last six games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against the Mets, where they won two out of three games. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this season. The Padres offense has scored 401 runs with a .235 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .265 with 15 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who is 5-6 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year.
Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-41 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss to the Marlins, where they lost two out of three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 401 runs with a .258 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Kyle Schwarber is batting .184 with 22 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 0-2 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this season.
Trends
San Diego is 0-4 in Yu Darvish’s last four starts against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-0-1 in San Diego’s last 9 game one’s of a series. Philadelphia is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a right handed starting pitcher. The under is 6-0-1 in Philadelphia’s last 7 game one’s of a series.
Pick
The Padres will try to start the second half of the season strong and continue their momentum from before the break, while Philadelphia continues to chase the Marlins and the Braves in the NL East. San Diego is starting Yu Darvish, who has allowed 3, 4, 6, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. Philadelphia is starting Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed five earned runs over his last four starts (21 IP). I have not liked what I have seen from Darvish recently, so I am taking the Phillies at home here.
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