Pelicans vs. Raptors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Toronto Raptors (23-38) are 7.5-point underdogs against the New Orleans Pelicans (36-25) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. The game tips at 7:30 PM ET on SN. The matchup’s over/under is set at 229.

Pelicans vs. Raptors Odds

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Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Pelicans vs. Raptors?

Pelicans and Raptors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, the Pelicans are 5-6-1 against the spread.

The Raptors have a 3-7 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 7.5 points or more.

Between them, these two teams average 1.6 more points per game (230.6) than this game’s over/under (229).

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.3 more points per game (229.3) than this game’s total of 229 points.

The average point total for Pelicans games this year is 1.0 fewer points than the total of 229 in this matchup.

The average total for Toronto’s games this season is 3.0 more points than the point total of 229 for this outing.

New Orleans’ ATS record is 33-26-2 this season.

The Raptors have gone 28-32-1 ATS this year.

Pelicans Stats & Insights

The Pelicans outscore opponents by 4.5 points per game (scoring 116.2 points per game to rank 14th in the league while giving up 111.7 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA) and have a +277 scoring differential overall.

The Pelicans win the rebound battle by 2.0 boards on average. They collect 44.4 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the league, while their opponents pull down 42.4 per contest.

New Orleans connects on 12.3 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), 1.1 fewer than its opponents (13.4).

The Pelicans’ 118.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 12th in the NBA, and the 113.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank seventh in the league.

The Pelicans have been better offensively at home, where they average 117.2 points per game, compared to on the road, where they record 115.4 per game. Defensively, they are slightly better in home games, where they give up 111.0 points per game, versus road games, where they allow opponents to score 112.4 per game.

Raptors Stats & Insights

The Raptors put up 114.4 points per game (17th in league) while giving up 117.6 per contest (20th in NBA). They have a -197 scoring differential and have been outscored by 3.2 points per game.

The 43.8 rebounds per game Toronto accumulates rank 15th in the NBA. Their opponents collect 44.4.

The Raptors hit 11.8 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league), 1.5 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 35.6% from deep (23rd in NBA) and opponents are shooting 37.3%.

The Raptors’ 115.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 19th in the NBA, and the 118.5 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 23rd in the league.

At home, Toronto scores 111.6 points per game. On the road, it averages 117.3.

Pelicans Key Players to Watch

The Pelicans active leader in points and assists this season is Brandon Ingram, who scores 21.9 points per game along with 5.8 assists.

Jonas Valanciunas contributes with 9.5 boards and 2.2 assists per game in addition to his 13.5 PPG scoring average.

The Pelicans get 3.4 three-pointers per game out of CJ McCollum.

Herbert Jones averages 1.3 steals per game, while Valanciunas has 1.0 block per contest.

Raptors Key Players to Watch

Gary Trent Jr. tallies 11.8 points per game. He also contributes 2.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game this season.

This season, Jakob Poeltl has a statline that includes 11.1 points, 2.5 assists and 8.6 rebounds per game.

Trent knocks down 2.4 threes per game.

The Raptors’ defensive efforts get a lift from Trent’s 1.0 steal and Poeltl’s 1.5 blocks per game.

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