Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks NLCS Game 6 odds, tips and betting trends

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet in Game 6 of the NLCS on Monday at 5:07 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are up 3-2 in the series, and can secure a spot in the World Series with a win.

The Phillies are favored at home (-184) versus the Diamondbacks (+154). The probable starters are Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) for the Phillies against Merrill Kelly (12-8, 3.29 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

These squads meet again following the Phillies’ 6-1 victory over the Diamondbacks Monday. Zack Wheeler (7.0 IP, 1 R, 6 H, 8 K) earned the win for the Phillies. Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Zac Gallen (6.0 IP, 4 R, 6 H, 1 K) took the loss on the mound for the Diamondbacks.

To prepare for the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks, here’s everything you need to prepare for Monday’s playoff action, including viewing options.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds and betting lines

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 3:16 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Favorite: Phillies (-184, bet $184 to win $100)
• Underdog: Diamondbacks (+154, bet $100 to win $154)
• Over/under: 8

• The Phillies have won 72, or 60.5%, of the 119 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia is 19-11 this season when entering a game favored by -184 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 64.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 79 of 173 chances this season.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 81-92-0 in 173 games with a spread this season.

• Nola gets the start for the Phillies, his 33rd of the season. He is 12-9 with a 4.46 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 193 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw six scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
• The 30-year-old has amassed a 4.46 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 32 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .240 to his opponents.
• Nola is trying to secure his 16th quality start of the year.
• Nola will try to extend a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging six frames per appearance).
• In three of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.408) and is 22nd in MLB play with 166 home runs. It has a collective .250 batting average, and is 17th in MLB with 1359 total hits and 14th in MLB play scoring 746 runs.
• Nola has a 2.84 ERA and a 0.789 WHIP against the Diamondbacks this season in 12 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .188 batting average over two appearances.
• The 30-year-old’s 4.46 ERA ranks 35th, 1.151 WHIP ranks 16th, and 9.4 K/9 ranks 17th among qualifying pitchers this season.

• The Phillies rank eighth in Major League Baseball with 220 home runs.
• Hitters for Philadelphia rank fifth in the majors with a combined .438 team slugging percentage.
• The Phillies have a team batting average of .256 this season, which ranks eighth among MLB teams.
• Philadelphia is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking eighth with 796 total runs this season.
• The Phillies have an on-base percentage of .327 this season, which ranks ninth in the league.
• Philadelphia ranks 23rd with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 8-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +154 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 75 of 172 chances this season.
• The Diamondbacks are 95-77-0 against the spread in their 172 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

• The Diamondbacks will send Kelly (12-8) to the mound to make his 31st start of the season. He is 12-8 with a 3.29 ERA and 187 strikeouts in 177 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the righty went 5 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up four earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.29, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 30 games this season. Opponents are batting .222 against him.
• Kelly has collected 18 quality starts this year.
• Kelly is seeking his 32nd straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
• In three of his 30 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
• He will face a Phillies offense that ranks eighth in the league with 796 total runs scored while batting .256 as a squad. His opponent has a collective .438 slugging percentage (fifth in MLB play) and has hit a total of 220 home runs (eighth in the league).
• Head-to-head against the Phillies this season, Kelly has pitched 11 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs on six hits while striking out 13.
• The 35-year-old ranks 11th in ERA (3.29), 23rd in WHIP (1.193), and 16th in K/9 (9.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

• The Diamondbacks rank 22nd in MLB play with 166 total home runs.
• This season, Arizona is 17th in baseball, slugging .408.
• The Diamondbacks are 13th in MLB with a .250 batting average.
• Arizona scores the 14th-most runs in baseball (746 total, 4.6 per game).
• The Diamondbacks’ .322 on-base percentage ranks 14th in MLB.