Phillies vs. Rangers odds, line, time: 2023 MLB picks, Sunday Night Baseball predictions from proven model
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to avoid the sweep when they take on the Texas Rangers in the third and final game of the series on Sunday Night Baseball. The Phillies (0-2), who ended a 10-year postseason drought last season by qualifying as a Wild Card and making the World Series, will look to have their third winning season in a row for the first time since a nine-year winning stretch from 2003 to 2011. The Rangers (2-0), meanwhile, are looking for their first winning season since 2016. Texas was just 68-94 in 2022.
First pitch from Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, is set for 7:08 p.m. ET. The Rangers lead the all-time series 14-7, including an 11-2 edge in games played in Arlington. Texas is a –130 favorite on the money line (risk $130 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Rangers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 8.5. Before making any Phillies vs. Rangers picks, be sure to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it finished the 2022 MLB season on a 20-14 roll. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on Phillies vs. Rangers and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Rangers vs. Phillies:
- Phillies vs. Rangers money line: Philadelphia +110, Texas -130
- Phillies vs. Rangers over-under: 8.5 runs
- Phillies vs. Rangers run line: Rangers -1.5 (+158)
- PHI: The Under is 4-0-1 in the Phillies' last five interleague games against a team with a winning record
- TEX: The Rangers are 6-2 in their last eight interleague home games
- Phillies vs. Rangers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Why you should back the Rangers
Center fielder Adolis Garcia is off to a red-hot start, going 5-for-8 (.625) in the first two games. In Saturday's 16-3 win over the Phillies, Garcia was 3-for-4 with two runs scored and a RBI. In 156 games last season, he hit .250 with a .300 on-base % and a .756 OPS. He had 34 doubles, five triples, 27 homers and 101 RBI.
Right fielder Robbie Grossman, who split time between Detroit and Atlanta a year ago, has had a hot bat to begin this season. He homered in the 11-7 Opening Day win, and followed that up with a 2-for-3 performance, which included a pair of RBI on Saturday. He is hitting .500 with a 1.000 slugging %.
Why you should back the Phillies
Philadelphia will look to get into the win column for the first time when they send left-hander Bailey Falter to the hill. Falter pitched in 20 games a year ago, making 16 starts. In 84 innings pitched, he was 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA with 17 walks and 74 strikeouts. This will be the first time he will face Texas. In his two-year career, Falter is 8-5 in 42 games, including 17 starts, with a 4.36 ERA. In 117.2 innings, he has allowed 119 hits, 57 earned runs, 23 walks and 108 strikeouts.
Offensively, the Phillies have had a number of solid performances so far this year, including a 2-for-4 and two RBI performance by designated hitter Nick Castellanos in Saturday's loss. Castellanos is looking to bounce back from what was a down year for him last season when he hit .263 in 136 games with 27 doubles, 13 homers and 62 RBI. He had driven in 100 as a member of the Cincinnati Reds in 2021. For his career, he is a .277 hitter with 181 homers and 656 RBI.
How to make Rangers vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the run total, as the simulations have the teams combining for 8.4 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
