Raptors props vs. Warriors Jan. 7: Bet on Quickley and fade Thompson

The Toronto Raptors continue their West Coast road trip tonight when they take on the Golden State Warriors.

The pregame narrative: Toronto has looked solid the past few games largely thanks to Immanuel Quickley, who has fit in nicely as the team's starting point guard. I'm expecting him to clear a reasonable point total and am also fading Klay Thompson amid his shooting struggles.

See how we're betting on this game in our Raptors picks vs. the Warriors for January 7.

NBA oddsas of 12:30 p.m. ET on 01/05/2024.

Raptors props vs. Warriors

Best Bet: Quickley over 19.5 points (-120)

Getting RJ Barrett was nice but Quickley is looking like Toronto's PG of the future.

The fourth-year floor general is averaging 20.0 points in three games with the Raptors, clearing this line twice. He's shooting an impressive 44.0% from beyond the arc in those games, which has brought his season-long average just north of 40%.

Quickley wasn't receiving starting minutes for the New York Knicks but he still managed to clear this mark eight times in 30 games while coming within a basket of topping it an additional seven times.

He's gone from playing 24.0 minutes per night to 32.8 in a flash and played a season-high 37:30 two nights ago against the Sacramento Kings — when he netted 20 points.

This is also a nice matchup as the Warriors cede the eighth-most points per game to opposing point guards (25.6), according to Fantasy Pros.

Golden State is an unimpressive 20th in defensive rating (115.7) and has dropped four of its past six games. Draymond Green has been cleared to return from suspension but the reality is the Warriors have become a very gettable team.

Key stat: Quickley has cleared this total in all three games this season in which he played at least 30 minutes.

Quick pick

Thompson under 3.5 threes (-136): Fading Thompson on this lofty total carries some juice but it should be worth the squeeze.

The Splash Brother is having the worst shooting season of his career from deep, connecting on only 37.6% of shots from beyond the arc. Mind you, that's a number most players would kill to have, but that drop-off is enough to warrant some skepticism.

Thompson has gone under this mark in 21 of 34 games this season including five of his past six.