Reds vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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29 March 2023

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Cincinnati Reds start their season as home favorites (-140) in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, live on on BSOH from Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati’s Hunter Greene and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller have been named the starters for this contest.

Reds vs. Pirates Odds

Reds odds to win: -140
Pirates odds to win: +119
Spread: Reds -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

Reds vs. Pirates Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSOH

Who Will Win Reds vs. Pirates?

Reds and Pirates Betting Trends (2022)

The Reds won 36.4% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (12-21).

Cincinnati had a record of 3-4 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -140 or shorter last year (42.9%).

Last season, the Pirates were the underdog 135 times and won 47, or 34.8%, of those games.

Pittsburgh had a record of 37-78, a 32.2% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +119 or more by sportsbooks last season.

The Reds combined with their opponents to go over the total 75 times last season for a 75-79-6 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Pirates went over the total set by sportsbooks in 75 of 162 chances last season.

Reds Stats & Insights (2022)

Last season the Reds had the No. 23 offense in MLB action scoring four runs per game (648 total runs).

Cincinnati ranked 19th in MLB with 156 home runs last season. It averaged one per game.

The Reds ranked 21st in the majors with a .235 batting average.

The club struck out 8.8 times per game, the No. 23 mark in baseball.

The Reds pitching staff ranked eighth in MLB last season with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

Cincinnati had the 28th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.86).

Pirates Stats & Insights (2022)

The Pirates scored 591 runs (just 3.6 per game) last season, which ranked 27th in MLB.

Pittsburgh’s 158 home runs ranked 18th in Major League Baseball.

The Pirates ranked 29th in MLB with a team batting average of just .222.

Pittsburgh was one of the least disciplined teams at the plate last season, ranking 28th with an average of 9.2 strikeouts per game.

The Pirates struck out 7.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 22nd in MLB.

Pittsburgh had the 26th-ranked ERA (4.66) in the majors last season.

Reds Key Players to Watch (2022)

Greene makes his first start of the season for the Reds.

Jonathan India finished with a .246 average and 41 RBI last season.

Nick Senzel collected 86 hits, posted an OBP of .296, and a .306 SLG.

TJ Friedl finished with a .240 average, eight home runs and 25 RBI last season.

Jake Fraley finished with a .468 SLG and 12 homers while driving in 28 runs.

Pirates Key Players to Watch (2022)

The Pirates will send Keller to the mound for his first start this season.

Bryan Reynolds hit 27 home runs while putting up a batting average of .262 last season.

Andrew McCutchen made the most of his opportunities with 69 runs batted in while picking up 122 hits.

Carlos Santana hit .202 a season ago with 18 doubles, 19 home runs and 71 walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes hit .244 with 24 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 48 walks.

Reds and Pirates Injuries

Reds: Lucas Sims: 15 Day IL (Back), Luke Weaver: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Pirates: Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow)