Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers predictions, picks and best bets

The Seattle Mariners (35-47) kick off a three-game interleague set on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers (42-36) Tuesday at Miller Park at 8:10 p.m. Eastern.

Neither team has been very good in interleague play, as the Mariners are 0-4 in four games against the National League, and the Brewers are just 2-5 in seven games vs. the AL.

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Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: Projected Starting Pitchers

LHP Marco Gonzales vs. RHP Zach Davies

Gonzales enters play with an 8-6 record, 4.38 ERA and 67 strikeouts across 96 2/3 innings in 17 starts this season. He had a shaky patch in late May to early June, but he has picked up the pace again, going 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over the past three starts. He has been a much better pitcher on the road, too, going 4-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 48 2/3 innings as the visitor. He is 4-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP across 48 innings at home.

Davies puts his 7-1 record and 3.06 ERA on the line against the M’s in this interleague series opener. He was smacked around for five earned runs and nine hits in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss at San Diego. He heads into this one with a 4-0 record, 3.13 ERA and 1.29 WHIP across 31 2/3 innings at home this season.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: By the Numbers

• The Mariners are 7-21 across the past 28 games on the road, and they’re 0-5 in the past five interleague road battles, too.
• Seattle has won just three of the past 10 starts by Gonzales, and they’re 1-4 in his past five starts against teams with a winning overall record.

• The Brewers are a perfect 4-0 over the past four starts at home by Davies, while going 7-1 in his past eight against teams with a losing record.
• Milwaukee has won six of the past eight games at Miller Park, and they have won six in a row at home in interleague play. They’re also 5-0 in the past five at home vs. LHPs.

Seattle Mariners at Milwaukee Brewers: Picks and Betting Tips

Moneyline: The Mariners (+145) are moderate ‘dogs on the road despite the fact they have one of their better pitchers going. However, their poor results in interleague play scream stay away. The Brewers(-165) have had great success with Davies on the bump, and they’re worth eating the chalk on Tuesday.

Run line: The Mariners (+1.5, -130) aren’t a bad play catching a run and a half on the road, as this game could be a well-pitched, tight game. The Brewers(-1.5, +110) are better played on the moneyline.

Over/under: The UNDER (10, -110) is 5-2 in Seattle’s past seven interleague road games vs. RHPs. Despite the fact the over is the trend in Gonzales’ past five (4-1), the under is the play. The under is 15-5-1 in the past 21 home outings by Davies, and 34-16-3 in his last 53 starts overall.