St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 5/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, May 22, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-250) Cincinnati (+210)

The Cincinnati Reds (19-27) host the St. Louis Cardinals (20-27) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The moneyline on this game has St. Louis at -250 and Cincinnati is opening at +210. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jordan Montgomery and Brandon Williamson.

St. Louis has a slugging % of .439 and have struck out 380 times, while taking a walk on 166 occasions. They have amassed 227 RBI's as well as 423 hits for the season, while their batting average sits at .261. The Cardinals have tallied 82 doubles as a unit and have knocked 66 balls out of the park. They have earned 235 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .333. As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are recording 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in MLB.

The Cardinals have compiled a team ERA of 4.30 on the year (17th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 405 hitters. Cardinals pitchers have allowed 53 home runs in addition to 222 total runs (21st in the league). They have walked 168 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.35 as a unit for the season. St. Louis has yielded 431 base hits (9.4 per 9 innings) as well as 198 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.45.

Cardinals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 58 times in addition to having 50 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 21 holds this year (25th in baseball). The Cardinals relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 45.0% and stepped onto the hill in 41 save situations. They have earned 9 saves this season and have blown 11 out of their 20 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 94 base runners this year with 31.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Cardinals have dispatched 146 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Cardinals have turned 66.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,732 innings on the field, which has them sitting 29th in professional baseball. The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with 1,244 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 450 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which puts them in 7th in professional baseball, and they have turned 48 double plays.

Montgomery has taken the ball for 617 frames and has racked up 587 K's in his career. His ERA is 3.88 (266 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.226. He has conceded 585 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 172 free passes. Montgomery (30-29 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.81 and he has faced 2,587 batters in the major leagues.

The Reds have a team slugging % of .374 and they are earning 4.31 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have notched 74 two-baggers, while taking a walk 157 times and earning 194 runs. Cincinnati is sitting with 35 long balls for the season as well as 186 runs batted in. They have struck out on 416 occasions (7th in the league) and have earned 364 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a batting average of .244 on the campaign.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.496 in addition to having a FIP of 4.51 as a squad so far this season. They are sitting at 28th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 427. The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 234 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 5.11 (223 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.20 (401 strikeouts against 161 walks). They have conceded 56 homers and they relinquish 5.36 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.0% out of their 100 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 61 times in high leverage situations in addition to 68 occasions with runners on. With 44 save situations, the Reds have accrued 22 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They rank 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 65.0%, and they have sent 164 relief pitchers onto the field on the season. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers take the mound in 20 save chances and they have converted 13 saves.

In 3,540 innings on the diamond, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 65.5% (30th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 35 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Reds have racked up 352 assists, 21 errors and have earned 1,180 putouts on the season.

During his career, Williamson has allowed 2 base hits and he has 6 strikeouts in 5 innings pitched. Williamson (0-0 career win-loss record) has earned a 1.59 ERA while surrendering 3.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 1 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.706 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 20 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+210) and under 8.5 runs

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Additional Resources:
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