Suns vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 20 best bets from model on 56-30 run

Phoenix Suns host Dallas Mavericks on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Phoenix is a two-point road favorite. Dallas is on the second night of a back-to-back after hosting the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday. The Suns are on a 34-9 overall record and 17-4 on their road. Deandre Ayton is injured for Phoenix. SportsLine's proven computer model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,00 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons.

SportsLine's advanced computer model has picked Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns. The model is on a 56-30 run. Suns are 13-8 against the spread in road games.

Suns vs. Mavericks is a 2022 NBA game. Suns are 13-8 against the spread in road games. Dallas is 4-3 against a spread with no rest.

Suns are No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up 104.2 points per 100 possessions. Dallas is scoring less than 1.1 points a possession. Phoenix is No 4 in NBA assists allowed (22.6 per game), No 5 in fast break points allowed and No 15 in turnovers per games.

Dallas takes care of the ball at an elite level on offense, committing fewer than 13 turnovers per game. The Mavericks are elite on defense, ranking in the top five and allowing fewer more than 1.07 points per possession. Phoenix is below-average on the glass and struggles to create free-throw attempts.

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total and projects 214 combined points for Mavericks vs. Suns. SportsLine has been on a 56-30 run.