Super Bowl Coin Toss Props 2024: Odds, Predictions for Heads and Tails

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Super Bowl Coin Toss Props 2024: Odds, Predictions for Heads and Tails

Millions of dollars will be wagered on the 2024 Super Bowl coin toss, as it's one of the most popular Super Bowl novelty props, so let's examine the market and all of the Super Bowl coin toss prop betting options.

The San Francisco 49ers will meet the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2024 Super Bowl. One of the most popular bets on the Big Game will be decided before a ball is even snapped.

We're of course talking about the Super Bowl coin toss props.

The team that wins the Super Bowl coin toss can decide whether to receive the ball to open the game, or to defer and start on offense at the beginning of the second half. In short, it impacts the strategies of both teams. And it's possibly the greatest Super Bowl prop bet in existence.

Sports betting sites recognize that and have made it a significant part of their Super Bowl odds offerings. You'll often find better odds for the coin toss than on the majority of other notable Super Bowl prop bets. It's typically an even play for both sides of the... coin. 

Our Super Bowl predictions don't include whether we lean toward heads or tails, but we're happy to help you conquer this wildly popular Super Bowl prop bet with information and resources below.

Super Bowl 2024 coin toss prop odds

FanDuel was the first of our best Super Bowl betting sites to post Super Bowl coin toss odds with a pair of markets, but expected the rest of the books to catch up in coming days.

Coin toss result

A coin toss should be a 50/50 proposition with our odds converter telling us we should be seeing +100 for both heads and tails. However, the sportsbooks always need to take their cut of every bet, so that's why we're seeing equal -104 odds on either side and that number represents a 50.98% implied probability for both sides.

Bettors should wait for more books to post this market in hope of getting odds closer to even money for their Super Bowl coin toss picks.

Coin toss winner

The Chiefs are the official home team for Super Bowl 2024 and will get to call the Super Bowl coin toss.

Even with an added factor mixed into this market with a team having to call the coin toss win, we're still seeing the equal -104/-104 odds given the true 50/50 nature of the bet.

Super Bowl 2024 coin toss props

Heads or tails prop

This one is as simple as it gets, and puts sports bettors in the shoes of the lucky player who gets to make the coin flip call himself: Heads or tails?

You'll want to shop around here to find the best possible odds. There might not be much of a difference between sportsbooks, but every cent and dollar count.

Those who choose to bet on the Super Bowl coin toss are quite literally engaging in a 50/50 proposition. There's viable research suggesting a slightly higher chance of the coin landing on the side that is facing up when it is flipped. However, the impact is minimal.

For what it's worth, tails once posted quite the sizzling run, with that side coming up prior to eight of nine Super Bowls.

Coin toss winner prop

This Super Bowl coin toss prop varies slightly from the straight heads-or-tails decision. Here, you're trying to predict which team will win the toss. And again, it's a 50-50 shot.

"Player correctly calls coin toss" prop

The majority of the best Super Bowl betting sites will feature the first two coin toss props available. However, you'll find additional markets at select sportsbooks.

Barstool Sportsbook (since rebranded as ESPN BET) had a Super Bowl 57 market centered around whether the player calling the coin toss would guess correctly:

"Coin toss winner also wins Super Bowl" prop

The last Super Bowl coin toss prop we'll mention here is also the most complex – but not by much. Barstool was first last season to market to post a prop on whether the team that wins the coin toss will also win the Super Bowl.DraftKings followed suit several days later:

The Eagles ended a run of eight straight teams that lost the coin toss but won the game, according to NFL Research.

Super Bowl coin toss results

It might only be a coin flip, but there's an awful lot of historical data available to sports bettors who are either curious about its history, or believe there are trends to mine (there aren't.)

Here's a breakdown of the history of the Super Bowl coin toss:

Here are some quick facts based on the above results:

  • Tails has come up 30 times in Super Bowl history, compared with heads at 27.
  • No result has come up more than five times in a row, with heads the correct call from Super Bowls 43-47
  • The Dallas Cowboys own the distinction of having the most Super Bowl coin toss wins with six. San Francisco have won five Super Bowl coin flips, followed by the Miami Dolphins with four wins.
  • Tom Brady was on the losing end of the coin toss in all seven of his Super Bowl titles.
  • The team to win the coin toss had gone on to lose the previous eight Super Bowls before the Chiefs finally ended the streak last February.

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