Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders odds, picks & predictions

Sportsbook Wire
 
Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders odds, picks & predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning (45-27-6) meet the New York Islanders (39-30-9) on Thursday. Puck drop from UBS Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lightning vs. Islanders odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Lightning suffered a 6-3 road loss at the New York Rangers Wednesday, snapping a 3-game win streak. The Over result also ended a 4-0 run to the Under.

The Islanders were on the short end of a 2-1 loss on the road against the Carolina Hurricanes on Sunday, following up a 5-0 setback against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena Saturday. The Under is on a 4-0-1 run for the Isles, who have been shut out twice along that span.

Lightning at Islanders odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

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Lightning at Islanders projected goalies

Brian Elliott (11-6-2, 3.30 GAA, .891 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Ilya Sorokin (28-21-7, 2.40 GAA, .923 SV%, 5 SO)

Elliott was knocked around for 6 goals on 34 shots in a 7-2 loss at Ottawa last time out on March 23, snapping a modest personal 2-game win streak. He was 2-2-0 with a 3.80 GAA and .866 SV% in 4 outings in March.

Sorokin was on the short end of the 2-1 setback at Carolina Sunday in his most recent outing, and he is 0-2-0 with a 3.96 GAA and .893 SV% in 2 April starts so far.

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Lightning at Islanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Islanders 3

The LIGHTNING (-105) are a good play as short ‘dogs on the road.

The Islanders have dropped 2 in a row, and New York is 2-3-1 in the past 6 games overall, collecting just 5 out of a possible 12 points.

The Lightning +1.5 (-275) are way too expensive if you require insurance in this road matchup. You can’t risk nearly 3 times your potential return, even as part of a parlay play, as that’s not nearly enough value.

AVOID.

OVER 5.5 (-120) is the best play on the board.

While the Under has been a frequent occurrence for both teams lately, the Over is 7-3-1 in Tampa’s last 11 games against Metropolitan Division teams, and it is especially a solid play with Elliott in the crease on the second end of a back-to-back.

The Islanders need this one and should be able to generate some solid offense against the backup, although they’ll come up short in the end.