Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 11/4/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-110) Senators (-110)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (4-3-3) are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday where they will take on the Ottawa Senators (4-5-0). The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at -110 while Ottawa is sitting at -110. The total has been set at 7.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to clean up some issues after taking a 4-2 loss against the Blue Jackets in the last game they played. Tampa Bay recorded 10 penalty mins for this contest. They also had 3 chances on the power play but weren't able to score. The Lightning didn't have their best offensive outing in this loss. In the matchup, they earned a goal on 2 of the 29 shots they looked to score on.

With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 34 goals (8th in the National Hockey League) so far this year and have surrendered 32. For the season, they have accumulated 11 points and their points percentage sits at .550. Tampa Bay has accumulated 33 power play chances and they have tallied 10 goals out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 30.30%. While playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 29 goals while scoring 24 when they are on offense. Tampa Bay has tried 295 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.5%. The Lightning so far have had 349 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .908. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 26 power play opportunities (31st in hockey) and have scored 3 goals in those chances.

The player between the pipes for this game is Jonas Johansson. Opponents have been able to score 121 goals versus Johansson in his pro career and his goals against average is 3.22. Johansson has taken the ice for 43 games throughout his pro hockey career. He has a save percentage of .895 for his 2,257 mins in the crease. He has accumulated an overall mark of 15-14-7 and he was named the starter in 36 games. Over the course of his career, Johansson has earned 14 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .389. Johansson has seen 1,150 shots taken against him and has gathered 1,029 total saves.

In their last game, Ottawa faced the Kings in a game where the Senators took the defeat by a score of 3-2. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this game and scored 1 out of those attempts. The Senators netted 2 goals out of the 26 shots on goal they took.

On the season, the Ottawa Senators have notched a total of 34 goals, 8 points, in addition to a points percentage of .444. They have allowed 29 goals to be scored by of a combination of 21 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Senators have earned 25 goals at even strength and 9 goals (11th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 41 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 21.95%. Ottawa has taken 302 shots (17th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.26%, while allowing the opposition 276 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 75.76% on their opponents 33 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 89.5%.

Across the ice you are going to see Joonas Korpisalo protecting the goal. He has recorded 5,940 saves out of the 6,571 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .904. Korpisalo has accumulated a career record of 96-85-25 and has been in goal for 228 contests. He has been a starter 207 games and has been on the ice for 12,554 mins. Korpisalo's quality start percentage comes out to 50.2% and he has 104 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. Opponents are averaging 3.02 goals per game and he has allowed 631 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-110)

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Additional Resources:
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