Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7-26-23 MLB Picks

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26 July 2023

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7-26-23 MLB Picks

The Marlins and Rays meet Wednesday in game 2 of this MLB series at Tropicana Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Marlins Betting Preview

The Marlins have dropped to 1-9since the all star break, an absolute nightmare of a second half. The Marlins have now at least 0.5 games out of the wild card race. The Marlins pitching staff is 13th in ERA (4.11), 16th in WHIP (1.27) and 19th in quality starts (32). The Marlins' offense is 27th in runs per game (4.10), 4th in batting average (.264) and 27th in homers (91). Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with 139 hits and 49 RBI, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jorge Soler have combined for 188 hits and 107 RBI. Sandy Alcantara gets the ball, and he is 3-9 with a 4.70 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 1-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Rays.

Rays Betting Preview

The Rays have lost 7 of their last 9 games and are 20 games above a .500 record. The Rays are 1.5 games back in the AL East. The Rays pitching staff is 1st in ERA (3.70), 2nd in WHIP (1.18) and 18th in quality starts (32). The Rays' offense is 4th in runs per game (5.24), 9th in batting average (.256) and 4th in homers (149). Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with 103 hits and 47 RBI, while Wander Franco and Randy Arozarena have combined for 196 hits and 109 RBI. Zach Eflin gets the ball, and he is 11-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Eflin is 5-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Facts

The Rays have won each of their last eight games against the Marlins.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
The Rays have led after 7 innings in each of their last six games against the Marlins at Tropicana Field.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three games between the Marlins and Rays.
The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 road games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last three games.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

Zach Eflin has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Harold Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Rays' last three home games against the Marlins.
Harold Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rays' last five games as favourites against the Marlins.
Harold Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in six of his seven previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Harold Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Zach Eflin ranks T1st in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins' last three day games.
Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins' last four Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances.
Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.375) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.67).
The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.225).
The Miami Marlins ranks T28th in the league for home runs this season (91).
The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for hits this season (911).

Randy’s Pick

Sandy Alcantara and plus money is worth a look given he was just a CY Young winner, but he also hasn't been himself this season with a 4.70 ERA. Also, the Marlins have been a mess this second half, with a 1-9 record. I just can't get behind the Marlins in their current form. The Rays are also 14-5 this season when Zach Eflin is on the mound this season. You can argue the Rays should be even bigger favorites at home. I'll lay the juice.