Texas vs. Oklahoma odds, spread, line: 2023 college football picks, Week 6 predictions by proven model
One of the most storied rivalries in college football will be rekindled on Saturday when the No. 3 Texas Longhorns and No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners collide in the 2023 Red River Showdown at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. The Longhorns (5-0, 2-0 in Big 12) are undefeated through five games for the first time since the 2009 season when they started the season 13-0 before losing to Alabama in the BCS Championship Game. Meanwhile, the Sooners (5-0, 2-0) are experiencing a bounce-back season after going 6-7 last year in Brent Venables' first season as coach. Saturday's showdown will be the first with both Texas and Oklahoma undefeated since 2011.
Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET. The Longhorns are 5-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Oklahoma odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 60.5. Before locking any Oklahoma vs. Texas picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Oklahoma and identified its picks and 2023 Red River Showdown predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Oklahoma vs. Texas:
- Texas vs. Oklahoma spread: Longhorns -5
- Texas vs. Oklahoma over/under: 60.5 points
- Texas vs. Oklahoma money line: Longhorns -144, Sooners +156
- TEX: The Longhorns rank second in the nation in red zone defense (50.0%)
- OKLA: The defense leads the country in interceptions (10)
- Texas vs. Oklahoma live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why Texas can cover
The Longhorns have a dominant defensive line. Led by tackles Byron Murphy II and T'Vondre Sweat, Texas allows opponents to rush for just 94.6 yards a game, which ranks second in the Big 12 and 17th in the country. In the Week 2 win at Alabama, Murphy and Sweat spearheaded a defensive front that registered nine tackles for loss, five sacks and four quarterback hurries. The five sacks were the most the Crimson Tide had surrendered at home since 2015.
In addition, Xavier Worthy is a dynamic playmaker. The 6-foot-1 junior from Fresno, Calif., leads the Big 12 and ranks second in the country in punt return average (16.0 yards per return) while also contributing 69.0 receiving yards per game in the Longhorns' balanced offense. Two years ago against Oklahoma, Worthy had nine receptions for 261 yards and two touchdowns, including a 75-yarder on the first play of the game. See which team to pick here.
Why Oklahoma can cover
Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel has been red-hot to start the season. The 5-foot-11 senior from Hawaii leads the Big 12 and ranks in the top 10 nationally in several categories, including completion percentage (75.2), passing efficiency (189.4), passing touchdowns (15), passing yards per game (318.6) and total offense (337.6 yards per game). He will be the best quarterback this season to face Texas, which has seen backup quarterbacks the last three weeks.
In addition, Oklahoma faces a Texas offense that may be without one of its most important weapons. Junior Ja'Tavion Sanders, who's a matchup nightmare at 6-foot-4 and 243 pounds and is widely considered one of the best tight ends in the country, is day-to-day after having his right leg rolled up on last week while blocking against Kansas. If he is unable to go or is less than 100%, it would be a significant loss for the Longhorns, who don't have another tight end who's the receiving threat of Sanders. See which team to pick here.
How to make Texas vs. Oklahoma picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under the point total, predicting a combined 59 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can see the model's picks at SportsLine.
