The true home-field advantage in football

Home-field advantage is a key factor in handicapping football. COVID-19 has led to empty or partially filled stadiums.

The true home-field advantage in football is the most important. COVID has stopped wreaking havoc on football.

According to VSiN, the team with the best home-field advantage in both college football and the NFL is the one with a better power rating. The team's power ratings are compared with their actual power numbers. The teams with greater actual differential played the "best" at home. They are the teams that had a greater power difference than expected. This is based on the difference between the expected margin and their point differential.

The true home-field advantage in football is a margin of victory. In college, the margin is as high as +9.7 for James Madison and as low as -4.8 for Georgia Tech.

Buffalo has the best home-field advantage in the NFL. The worst one is the Chargers. Oddsmakers give home advantage to James Madison. Ohio State and Buffalo Bills are the top-rated teams for college and theNFL. Next week, he'll do the same exercise for performance in road games. He'll use the number 1.8 as his average home field advantage. It's based on SU and ATS records. In 2022, the average NFL home edge is 1,95 points. For the SU record of 65-52 (55.6%) through eight weeks, I'm using the 1:8 number.

American Football Conference has the best overall True Home-field Advantage. Three teams are undefeated at home since the start of the 2019 season. Five teams have only one home loss since 2019. Alabama has best record at 23-1. The worst SU record is at 3-16. Kansas State is the most ATS home team this week. The four teams with the biggest point spreads at their home games are Alabama, Clemson, Georgia and Ohio State. They are followed by Georgia (-29.2), Georgia -26.6 and Ohio - 26.4.

The true home-field advantage in football is based on how much teams have won at home and how they were supposed to win at their home ground. The top teams for the last three and a half seasons are:

Louisville is hosting James Madison this week. Wake Forest is at home against that team.

The teams with the worst home-field advantage over the last three and a half seasons are:

Vanderbilt hosts South Carolina and Miami hosts Florida State this week.

The division with the best overall TRUE HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE is the AFC East. The division in which three of the four teams in the home-field advantage are in negative territory is AFC West. Three teams are better than 70% SU at home over the last three and a half seasons: Green Bay, Kansas City and Buffalo. Seven teams under 40% ATS at their home games. Green Packers lost their most recent home game. Chiefs are 12.5-point favorites over Titans on Sunday night. Jets are the worst team at the point-spread averages since the start of 2019 season.

New England is hosting Indianapolis this week.

Arizona hosts Seattle, the Jets host Buffalo and Jacksonville hosts Las Vegas this week.