Toronto Bluejays vs Philadelphia Phillies 3/12/2023 Picks

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12 March 2023

Toronto Bluejays vs Philadelphia Phillies 3/12/2023 Picks Predictions Previews

The Toronto Bluejays will go against the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action in BayCare Ballpark Clearwater, FL, on Sunday, March 12, 2023, at 1:05 PM ET.

Given the alterations made to Rogers Centre, every MLB preview worth its salt will begin with an analysis of the Toronto Blue Jays. Although they were raised, the outfield walls were also dramatically brought in.

The walls in the left field and left center were both relocated by seven feet (368) and two feet, respectively (381). The wall in the right center was shifted by 11 feet (372) and 16 feet, respectively (359).

It shouldn’t come as a surprise that Dalton Varsho, Brandon Belt, and Kevin Kiermaier, Toronto’s three position player signings, are all left-handed batters.

Even while this squad already possessed a lot of right-handed power, the additional dimensions, especially in right field, need a boost of left-handed pop.

It will be detrimental to the pitchers as well, but the Blue Jays appear to be following a different chapter of the Orioles’ script.

In an effort to equalize the playing field for their offense, Baltimore significantly improved pitcher-friendliness in left field at Camden Yards.

With these adjustments, Toronto may create the best hitter’s park in baseball outside of Coors Field, as they are currently depending as heavily as they can on their offense.

Moreover, Rogers Centre saw more home runs last season than Coors Field. The Blue Jays played all of their home matches at Rogers Centre for the first time since 2019 in this season.

With a wRC+ of 117, they had the second-best overall offense and the highest batting average in the league (.264).

In fact, they were the league’s top offensive in terms of wRC+ and wOBA on the road, even though they were just sixth in wRC+ and eighth in wOBA at home.

The Blue Jays’ at-home park factor adjustments will probably elevate their offense to the top of the league this year.

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-0 in their previous 5 meetings ATS.
Toronto is 42-39 in their previous road meetings against the spread.
The totals went OVER in 3 of the Blue Jays’ last 5 matches.

Chat with our Live Handicapper to Know More about the Game.

The Philadelphia Phillies thought they had a World Series-caliber roster when they hit the field for their first spring training match in Florida a year ago. Outside of the City of Brotherly Love, very few people had such an opinion.

Of course, the Philadelphia Phillies emerged victorious, going on an incredible run to win the National League pennant and forcing Game 6 of the World Series against the Houston Astros.

Philadelphia’s first spring training game of 2023 was played on Saturday afternoon, and despite a somewhat changed roster, everyone in the organization still feels it is capable of another World Series run.

Again, few people outside of the greater Philadelphia area have that opinion.

The Dodgers, Padres, Mets, and Braves were the four teams who dominated the conversation about the National League at this time last year.

Each of the four finished with a better record than Philadelphia and made the playoffs. But none advanced as far as the Phillies, who earned the sixth and final postseason spot in the National League.

Philadelphia is only sixth in the World Series chances this spring (+1400 at FanDuel), despite adding an All-Star shortstop, a reliable No. 3 starter, and a seasoned closer.

Additionally, the Dodgers (+400), Braves (+420), Mets (+420), and Padres (+500) are all ahead of the Phillies (+700) in the race to defend their National League pennant.

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 matches against the spread.
Philadelphia is 40-41 in their road matches against the spread.
The totals went OVER in 3 of the Phillies’ last 5 matches.

Toronto Bluejays vs Philadelphia Phillies. The MLB pick for this game is the Toronto Bluejays. Last year, Toronto had a 58-19 record when they scored at least five runs.

They were surprisingly 16-5 when they scored four runs and 9-11 when they scored five runs. Under the new rules, the offense should increase throughout the league.

The Jays were fourth in GB% despite their high power output. They will benefit from the additional dimensions at home and the absence of a shift. The pitching staff, however, continues to be my sticking point.

They will have a significant disadvantage in the ALDS if they don’t win the AL East and must use Manoah and Gausman in the Wild Card Round. The Toronto Bluejays will win to a predicted score of 4-3.

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