Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Denver Extend Home Win Streak?

Northwest Division rivals clash inDenver as the Nuggets look to cool off the visiting Portland Trail Blazers' weekend hotstreak. Check out our Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets NBA picks based on the best basketball odds.

Afterthree straight losses, the Trail Blazers bounced back in a big wayover the weekend, dispatching the Dallas Mavericks on back-to-back nights withmonster victories. Damian Lillard has been cooking, averaging 38 points acrosshis last five appearances, and the superstar guard will need to be at his bestif he hopes to lead his team to victory.

TheDenver Nuggets continue to dominate at home. Sporting the Association’s besthome record at 19-3, Denver has reeled off 13 straight wins at home and sits asthe No. 1 seed in the West. Can the Nuggets and reigning MVP Nikola Jokic win a14th straight and cover against their division rivals?

Hereis our best Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets NBA pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Jan. 17, 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBA League Pass, fuboTV
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsOdds

Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsOdds Analysis

The Nuggets opened as 7.5-point favorites, andthe line has come down just a point to 6.5. Denver is 13-0 straight-up acrossits last 13 home games and 8-4-1 against the spread in those contests. The Nuggets have thesecond-best point differential at home this season at a healthy 11.1 points pergame. Simply playing an average game at Ball Arena will be enough for Denver tocover this spread.

Bettors favor the Nuggets to cover and have laid down 62% oftickets on the Nuggets' point spread. Denver is 11-8-1 as the home favorite thisseason, and Portland is 9-8 as the road underdog.

The point total continues to rise in thismatchup of talented offenses. Sitting at 238.5, this number has risenfive points since opening at 233.5.

Portland dropped 276 points on theMavericks across two games over the weekend, so the team will come in on aheater. The Blazers have hit the Over in each of the last three games, but theteam is just 8-16 on the road and 6-11 as the road underdog this season. Denverhas hit the Over in just two of its last six, and the team is 8-12 as the homefavorite.

The Over has received 68% of wagers even at its lofty total.

Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsPick

Trail Blazers-Nuggets Under 238.5(-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Asmentioned above, most of the action is on the Over, and it’s anunderstandable wager. Portland is hot, Denver is great at home, and nobodylikes betting an Under. We can find value, however, in zigging while the publicis zagging.

Theseteams have faced off three times this season, hitting the Over in two of them.Both of the Overs occurred in Portland, and the Under came in Denver. The TrailBlazers actually allow more points and score more points per game at home, andDenver allows more on the road, offering a partial explanation for the Overs.In the Under game at Denver, the teams combined for just 227 points.

TheNuggets rank 14th in opponent points per game at 113.1, but the team is sixth athome, allowing just 108.6 points at Ball Arena. Portland ranks seventh inpoints per game allowed on the road at 111.8. Both defenses should be at theirbest in this one.

This total is likely inflated due to Portland’s feverishoffense against the Mavericks, but Dallas was decimated with injuries over theweekend, and Portland’s output is a bit misleading without that context.

Thisline continues to creep up, and we’re hammering the Under. I’d be comfortablebetting this down to 230.5, so this feels like a slam dunk.

Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsBest Odds

FanDuel (-108)

Thereisn’t much variety on this total, as three of our featured books list it atstandard -110 odds. DraftKings Sportsbook is the only book offering it with odds shorterthan that, while BetRivers offers it at -109 and FanDuel offers our best odds by aslim margin at -108. We’ll make our wager there.

Trail Blazers-Nuggets pick made01/17/2023 at 11:55 a.m. ET.

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