Uncovering key trends for TCU-Georgia national title game

Georgia and TCU are playing in the College Football Playoff national title game on Monday. The Horned Frogs were predicted to be the seventh-place team in 2021 and were 200-1 shots for a college football title in August. Georgia was the defending national champions and was listed at 4-2. DraftKings has Georgia as a 13-point favorite.

Big 12 dogs catching more than 9 points in bowl games are on a 14-5 ATS run. TCU is feeling the pressure of being a big underdog in the national championship game. Jackson State lost to NC Central in Celebration Bowl. There have been seven games so far in 2022-23 bowl season in which one team was favored by double digits over another.

Georgia and TCU are going to play in the national championship game on Monday night. TCU is on an 8-1-0 ATS run in its last 10 games versus elite defenses allowing 17.5 PPG or fewer. Georgia is 1-9 AET in last ten games coming off a close win of 3 points or less. The Bulldogs' closest decision this season was a four-point margin over Missouri. TCU has done a great job turning its recent games against elite teams into shootouts. It is 15-2 OVER the total in it's last 17 games vs. good teams winning 80%+ of their games.

TCU-Georgia national championship game is on Monday. There are some trends from recent championship games. The current line is the biggest one since the championship started in 1999. SEC teams are 12-5 SU and ATS in national title games since '06. Oddsmakers can be a decisive factor in championship football games, as they can make the favorites cover the points. Outright winners are 6-3 ATCS in the last nine championship championship matches. The teams failing to score 21 points in title football are 1-13 SU, 1/13 ATR. In bowl games the winner has covered the point spread more than 20 times in a row.