UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 10/14/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, October 14, 2023

Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 56

The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-5) will try to defeat the UNLV Runnin' Rebels (4-1) at Mackay Stadium on Saturday, October 14, 2023. UNLV is 9-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 56.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 4-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Runnin' Rebels faced off with the Hawaii Warriors and went home with a win by a final score of 44-20. Jayden Maiava connected on 11/21 with 142 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 140.6 and finished the contest with no picks. Donavyn Lester was the rushing leader for the Runnin' Rebels with 12 attempts for 98 yards (8.2 yards per attempt). The UNLV Runnin' Rebels ended up rushing 47 times and tallied 307 yards, which is an average of 6.5 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 68 plays which totaled 449 yards. UNLV conceded 22 completions on 35 tries for a total of 313 yds, and a completion percentage of 62.9%. On the ground, the Runnin' Rebels gave up 46 yds on 26 attempts, which is 1.8 yards per run allowed.

The Runnin' Rebels have racked up 1,972 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, UNLV has earned 3 touchdowns through the air and 17 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 5 different times. UNLV has 106 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 37 penalties for 315 yds. Offensively they average 214.0 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 14th in the nation. Concerning scoring, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels hold an average of 36.0 points per outing.

The Runnin' Rebels are sitting in 78th in D-1 regarding team defense, giving up 26.8 PPG. The opposition is running for 3.4 yards per rushing attempt and 115.6 rushing yards per game on the year. Overall, they have given up 578 yards via the ground game in 5 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Runnin' Rebels are conceding 1,418 yards which ranks them 90th in college football. They have surrendered 283.6 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 59.3%. In total, they are surrendering 399.2 yards/game which puts them 99th in college football. They have conceded 8 touchdowns through the air and 8 touchdowns on the ground.

The Wolf Pack head into this matchup 0-5 this season. For their last game, the Wolf Pack took a defeat with a final score of 27-9 against the Fresno State Bulldogs. AJ Bianco (1 TD) finished the game with 97 yds on 9/14 passing while his QB rate was 146.1. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.9. Brendon Lewis carried the rock 16 times for 25 yds, finishing the game with 1.6 yds per carry for Nevada. The Wolf Pack finished the game with 220 yds on 66 plays (3.3 yards per play). Nevada ran for 1.7 yards per tote, totaling 53 yards on 31 carries. Nevada conceded 25 attempts on the ground for 141 yards (5.6 yards per rush). The Wolf Pack pass defense allowed a completion rate of 76.5%, surrendering 269 yds on 26 out of 34 through the air.

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Wolf Pack currently sit 131st in the country with 15.4 points per game. The Nevada Wolf Pack average 292.4 yards per game, which is good for 129th in D-1. The Nevada offense has accrued 227 yds of penalties on 23 violations, which has them sitting 119th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 77 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Wolf Pack have thrown for a total of 933 passing yards as well as an average of 186.6 throwing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 112th in college football. They have an average of 105.8 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 529 yards for the season.

Nevada has given up a total of 913 rushing yards (182.6 yards per game) and 11 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have allowed 12 touchdowns through the air and 326.2 yards per game, which has them sitting 132nd in the country. Their defense has compiled 5 fumbles and 3 picks on the campaign. The Wolf Pack defense has taken the field for 305 plays, which ranks 8th in college football. The Wolf Pack are allowing 38.4 points per game, which has them sitting 131st in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 192 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Runnin' Rebels/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack +9

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