Week 15 Player Props and Best NFL Bets

The Panthers have leaned into a run-heavy approach but there's value among their backfield. It's hard not to bet on a running back that is projected for 20-plus carries. I'm getting down on the quarterback who is rushing toward the history books.

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The Panthers are more than a 1-point favorite for the first time since Week 1. Chuba Hubbard and D'Onta Foreman have 76 carries over the last two games, with Foremen getting 59%. Both backs have been getting red-zone looks, and Foremans has 11 carries + targets inside the 20 over last 2 games. The Steelers are allowing 0.9 TDs per game to opposing running backs since week 10.

Justin Fields is the favorite to win the game against the Eagles. He came back from a shoulder injury in Week 13 and ran for 71 yards on six carries and threw for 254 yards. Fields has a carry total of 10.5 at even money for the Over. The Eagles allow one of the lowest completion rates in the NFL and give up 179 passing yards per game. Chase Claypool didn't practice on Wednesday.

The Vikings' defense has given up at least 400 yards of offense in five straight games. Matt Ryan is not a quarterback I'd trust starting in my fantasy playoffs. I'm looking to the Indianapolis receivers for my best play on the Saturday opener. Michael Pittman Jr. has a 25% target share since Ryan took over the starting role. Indy's No.1 wideout should see more targets Saturday afternoon vs. the Vikings. The Vikings’ secondary won't give Pittmann as much trouble as the Cowboys.

J.K. Dobbins returned from injury last week and he torched the Steelers' defense for 120 rushing yards and a TD on 15 carries. He took 43% of the team's snaps and out-carried Gus Edwards 15 to 13. The Browns and Ravens are going to play each other this week. Cleveland ranks 30th in rush DVOA and dead last in DVoa/rush. Baltimore's defense is one of best since Week 10.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing total is 242.5 yards, three yards less than Mike White's last week vs. the Bills. Last week Brandon Staley outcoached Mike McDaniel. The Dolphins were playing from behind for nearly 45 minutes. Saturday's game will be played in Orchard Park, New York. It will get cold, with double-digit winds and possible snow. Tua has a 61.4 QB rating in the four cold games he's played. He's 0-4 straight up in those games with a TD/INT ratio of 2/5, a 54% completion rate, and an average of 211 passing yards per game.

Tua has a better coach and more weapons this time than in his previous cold games. The game script alone makes this Under a very risky play.

Tua Tagovailoa is the best NFL prop for the week 15.