Week 9 NFL Parlay Predictions, Odds

sportsbookreview.com

03 November 2023

Our NFL parlay predictions for Week 9 based on the best NFL odds include a high-scoring contest between the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night. Read on for more.

The Buffalo Bills have gone Over the total in each of their last nine games as an underdog, and we can expect plenty of fireworks when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals in a highly-anticipated Sunday Night Football showdown. Cincinnati has scored 30-plus points in two of its last three games, including an impressive 31-17 win over the San Francisco 49ers last week.

NFL predictions for Week 9 to go along with our best NFL parlay predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Best NFL Week 9 parlay predictions

Falcons moneyline (-205) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

You have to feel for the Minnesota Vikings. Not only have the Vikings won three straight and four of their last five to fight back to .500 after an 0-3 start, but they did most of it without superstar wideout Justin Jefferson, who remains sidelined with an injured hamstring. Now they’ll have to go the rest of the season without quarterback Kirk Cousins after he tore his Achilles in last week’s 24-10 victory over the Green Bay Packers.

As much resilience as the Vikings have shown this season, the loss of Cousins looks too much to overcome. No team in the NFL has been more reliant on the pass this year than Minnesota, which leads the league in completions and pass attempts while ranking second in yards. Rookie QB Jaren Hall is a considerable step down in class from the veteran Cousins, and he won’t get much help from a running game that is second-worst in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons are also making a change at quarterback, replacing starter Desmond Ridder with Taylor Heinicke, but that should be an upgrade. The Falcons’ offense looked as good as it has all season with Heinicke under center in the second half last week against the Tennessee Titans, putting up 20 points after managing just three in the first half.

Laying points with the Falcons is a dangerous proposition (three of Atlanta’s wins this year have come by a combined six points). Still, this quarterback mismatch makes me comfortable including the Falcons moneyline in our Week 9 parlay.

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Saints team total Over 23.5 (-142) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

It took a while, but the New Orleans Saints offense finally seems to be clicking under first-year starter Derek Carr. New Orleans racked up more than 500 total yards in last week’s 38-27 win over the Indianapolis Colts, the third time in four weeks that the Saints have put up at least 24 points. To put that into perspective, New Orleans averaged just 15.5 points per game in its first four outings, failing to score more than 20 points in any of them.

The Chicago Bears’ defense looked better in a recent three-game stretch against the Washington Commanders, Minnesota Vikings, and Las Vegas Raiders, allowing a combined total of just 51 points. However, two of those performances came in cold and windy conditions at Soldier Field, while the Raiders started a backup quarterback. When Chicago stepped up in class last week against the Los Angeles Chargers, the Bears were once again blown off the field, allowing Justin Herbert to throw for 298 yards and three touchdowns.

Chicago has given up at least 27 points in seven of its last eight road games. The numbers have been even worse in controlled environments like the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, with the Bears giving up 30, 41, 27, 49, 29, and 31 points when playing in domed stadiums over the past two years. Expect Carr to eclipse the 300-yard plateau for the fourth straight week and for the Saints to continue their recent offensive surge.

Bills vs. Bengals Over 49.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Buffalo Bills' offense has been far from impressive in their last four games, averaging less than 21 points and failing to cover a single-point spread in matchups with the Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants, New England Patriots, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, the Bills were hefty favorites in each of those games, and head coach Sean McDermott has played things a bit more conservatively when his team is heavy chalk this season.

When Buffalo is an underdog, the Bills open things up more. Way more. Not only is Buffalo 9-0 to the Over in its last nine when catching points, but those games have seen an average of 65.8 points scored. The last time we saw the Bills as an underdog, they scored a touchdown in every quarter of a wild 42-36 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2021 AFC Championship Game.

The Cincinnati Bengals should also have their foot on the gas now that Joe Burrow’s injury woes seem behind him. Cincy scored four touchdowns and recorded 29 first downs last week against a strong San Francisco 49ers defense, the second time in three games that the Bengals have scored at least 30. They also did whatever they wanted offensively when they met the Bills in last year’s playoffs, scoring two early touchdowns in a 27-10 romp, and should be able to move the ball with ease against Buffalo’s injury-plagued defense

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Week 9 NFL parlay picks made Thursday at 7 a.m. ET