World Cup clinching scenarios: How Canada can reach the Round of 16

Canada lost 1-0 to Belgium in their opening match of their 2022 FIFA World Cup campaign. They still control their destiny in Group F, with wins in the next two matches pretty much guaranteeing them a place in first knockout round. Their next match is against Croatia on November 27th.

Croatia and Morocco drew 0-0 in Wednesday's earlier Group F match. Canada's game against Croatia is on the same day.

Canada is currently carrying no points. Canada can advance on points with a win and a draw against Morocco. They can also advance with points from Croatia and with the result against Croatia. Canada cannot advance without a victory against either Croatia or Morocco, or with both teams' defeats. Belgium could win all three matches and Canada, Croatia, and Morocco draw each of the matches between them, creating a three-way tie for second place with two points per team.

Canada can advance to the Round of 16 with 6 points. They can also advance with 3 points, but they can't advance without losing one of the next two matches.

Canada can advance to the Round of 16 with a win against Morocco and a draw against Croatia. They are eliminated with loss against them.

Canada can reach the Round of 16 by winning the World Cup.

Belgium has the longest odds to advance from Group F to the Round of 16.