Yankees at Rangers Free Pick & Expert Analysis

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Yankees on Sunday, April 30th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Yankees vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 15-13 SU / OU 9-18 / Runline 13-15Texas Rangers: 16-11 SU / OU 16-9 / Runline 15-12

Heading into their game vs. the Rangers, the Yankees have a record of 15-13 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 5-2. At home, they have gone 9-7 and 6-6 on the road.

• The Yankees have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
• The Yankees have been favored in 78.6% of their games and have runline records of 7-9 and 6-6 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 9-18.

The Rangers take on the Yankees in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL West on an overall record of 16-11. So far, they are 6-6 on the road and 10-5 at home. Texas’ overall series record stands at 5-3.

• The Rangers have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 2.2.
• The Rangers have been favored in 66.7% of their games and have runline records of 9-6 and 6-6 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 64% of the Rangers’ 27 games at 16-9.

Pitching Matchup

With an overall record of 3-1, the Yankees will give Nestor Cortes the start. His ERA stands at 3.49 with a K/9 figure of 1.0 after making five appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.60 and an OBP of .287.

In Nestor Cortes’ last outing, the Yankees lost by a score of 6-2 to the Twins. In the game, he allowed four runs on five hits over five innings.

With an overall record of 3-1, the Rangers will give Martín Pérez the start. His ERA stands at 2.60 with a K/9 figure of 0.9 after making five appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.36 and an OBP of .333.

Martín Pérez took a no-decision in his last outing, tossing 6 1/3 innings and giving up one run. Despite picking up a quality start, the Rangers lost to the Reds by a score of 7-6.

Yankees vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

Offensively, the Yankees, come into the game ranked 21st in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. In the home run category, New York is ranked 9th, with 34 deep shots. When it comes to batting average, they have collectively hit .226. This mark includes hitting .233 on the road and .215 at home.

New York Yankees Top Bats

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

The Rangers have played 27 games so far and have an average of 6.0 runs per game, putting them 2nd in the league. Texas has hit 34 home runs, ranking them 9th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .257, while hitting .240 on the road and .258 at home.

Texas Rangers Top Bats

Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Neither team is scoring a lot of runs, in recent games, and each team’s offensive output drops against left-handed pitching. The Yankees’ runs per nine innings fall from 4.35 to 3.67 and the Rangers’ 6.64 to 4.88
Comparing the starting pitchers, Martin Perez of the Rangers has a slight advantage in ERA this season, but his counterpart Nestor Cortes Jr. boasts a superior WHIP. When it comes to historical batter-versus-pitcher data, Perez hasn’t fared well against the Yankees’ lineup, allowing a .302 batting average and a .381 on-base percentage over 86 at-bats. Cortes Jr., on the other hand, has effectively neutralized the Rangers’ offense, limiting them to a .240 BA in 25 at-bats.
The Yankees have the better bullpen by a large margin if Perez doesn’t falter that should be the difference maker. Take the Yankees -120.

MLB Baseball Picks

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!