Yankees vs. Orioles odds, lines: Proven model reveals MLB picks for July 4, 2023 matchup
A pair of AL East rivals will go head-to-head on the Fourth of July as the Baltimore Orioles visit the New York Yankees on Tuesday. Baltimore is 49-34 on the season and is second in the division sitting six games behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Meanwhile, the Yankees are third in the division at 47-38 but both teams currently own AL Wild Card spots as we've passed the halfway point of the season. Baltimore will send Kyle Gibson (8-5, 4.66 ERA) to the mound while the Yankees will turn to Clarke Schmidt (3-6, 4.36 ERA) for Game Two of this three-game series. New York won Game 1 by a final score of 6-3 on Monday.
The game is slated to begin at 1:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. New York is the -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) while Baltimore is a +105 underdog on the money line in the latest Yankees vs. Orioles odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 9. (see the latest lines for every game on our MLB odds page).
Before making any Orioles vs. Yankees picks, you NEED to see the latest MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns!
The model knows the Yankees will be riding high coming off their win on Monday. It was their fourth win in the last six games and the victory gives the Yankees a 4-3 advantage in the season series against their division rivals. New York was down 3-2 heading into its half of the seventh but managed a run to tie and then Harrison Bader launched a three-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to secure the win. The bullpen threw 4 2/3 innings of scoreless ball, surrendering only three hits and striking out six. The Yankees lead the MLB in team bullpen ERA (2.83) on the season.
The model also knows that Baltimore is one of the MLB's fastest-rising franchises. After losing 110 games just two seasons ago, the Orioles managed 83 wins in 2022 and are now 15 games above .500 as we hurdle toward the MLB all-star break. They'll hand the ball to the team's most experienced starter in Gibson on Tuesday. The 2021 AL all-star is coming off a couple of rocky starts that saw his ERA jump from 3.94 to 4.66 but he's managed eight quality starts this season, including seven scoreless innings in a win over the Yankees on May 25.
Now, it has set its sights on Yankees vs. Orioles. We can tell you the model is leaning Under on the run total, and it also says one side of the money line has ALL the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.
