2022-23 NFL Playoff Odds Tracker
The 2022 NFL regular season concluded January 8, 2023 with the top seven teams from each conference moving onto the 2022-23 NFL Playoffs, which began January 14, 2023. We tracked the odds for all 32 NFL teams to make and miss the playoffs from the time the odds open, right through to Week 18.
The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from our most trusted sports betting apps and sites including Caesars Sportsbook, Barstool Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.
AFC / NFC
Odds to Make NFL Playoffs for AFC Teams
The final odds to make and miss the 2022-23 NFL playoffs for all AFC teams are below.
AFC Playoff Odds
Odds as of December 27
As the season progresses, and some teams are either eliminated from playoff contention or clinch a playoff berth, you will see them come “OTB” (Off the Board).
Here are some notes on the NFL playoff odds movement:
- [January 7] The following teams made the NFL playoffs from the AFC: the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Baltimore Ravens, and Miami Dolphins.
- [October 12] The Dolphins’ odds to make the playoffs were listed at -400 two weeks ago, but back-to-back losses and an injury to Tua Tagovailoa has seen them fade a bit. Surprisingly, even as the Dolphins prepare to start Skylar Thompson under center in Week 6, Miami still has -175 odds to make the playoffs.
- [September 27] The Jaguars’ odds to make the playoffs are still listed at +130 in spite of their great start to the season. Those are just the tenth-best odds in the conference, and behind the likes of Cleveland and Cincinnati. Miami now has the third-best odds to make the AFC playoffs after beating the Bills in Week 3.
- [September 20] The Broncos, Titans, Bengals, and Colts were seen as heavy favorites to make the playoffs before the season started, but are all now given better odds to miss the playoffs after very disappointing starts to the season. The Dolphins are heading in the right direction, though, and are now -175 to get in.
- [September 7] The Browns, who were once -150 favorites to make the NFL playoffs, are now listed at +178 odds. This puts them behind the Raiders, Dolphins, and Patriots on the odds board.
- [July 27] With Deshaun Watson potentially being served a suspension, the Cleveland Browns’ playoff odds have been taken off the board.
- [April 11] The Browns have opened with -150 odds to make the 2022-23 NFL playoffs. They have better odds than Cincinnati, Baltimore, and Tennessee.
- [March 28] Odds to make the NFL playoffs have opened, as well as odds to miss the NFL playoffs. The following teams from the AFC opened as the favorites to make the playoffs: Buffalo, Kansas City, Indianapolis, Denver, Los Angeles (Chargers), Cincinnati, and Baltimore. The Browns did not have odds at opening.
Odds to Make Playoffs for NFC Teams
The NFC team who opened with the best odds to make the 2022-23 NFL playoffs was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with -625 odds. That was in large part thanks to three-time NFL MVP quarterback Tom Brady announcing his return to the Bucs during the offseason.
Though the Bucs did end up making the playoffs, their ticket was not as certain as the opening odds suggested.
NFC Playoff Odds
*Odds as of December 27.
- [January 7] The following teams made the playoffs from the NFC: the Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, Minnesota Vikings, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Seattle Seahawks.
- [October 12] The Dallas Cowboys’ playoff odds had plummeted to +240 after losing to the Bucs in Week 1 and seeing Dak Prescott suffer a hand injury. Dallas is now -460 to make the playoffs after Cooper Rush has won four straight games.
- [September 27] Philadelphia now has the best odds among NFC teams to make the playoffs. Thanks to a seemingly easier division, the Buccaneers still have the second-best odds to make the playoffs, despite losing to Green Bay in Week 3.
- [September 20] The Cowboys’ odds to make the playoffs have recovered after Cooper Rush led them to a surprise win over the Bengals. Dallas is back to +130 after fading to +240 following their Week 1 loss to the Bucs and Dak Prescott’s hand injury. The Giants, despite being 2-0, are still given better odds to miss the playoffs.
- [July 27] The Eagles’ odds to make the playoffs have been steadily improving since they acquired AJ Brown from the Titans on Day 1 of the NFL Draft. Philadelphia now has the sixth-best odds to make the playoffs in the NFC.
- [March 28] Odds to make the NFL playoffs in the NFC have opened. The following teams from the NFC are favored to make the playoffs: Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Dallas, Los Angeles (Rams), San Francisco, and Arizona. The team with the seventh-best odds is Minnesota.
