2023 AL Win Total Odds and Predictions: Yankees Face Major Regression

The MLB season is officially underway, but there’s still time to place bets on preseason win totals. The Houston Astros, defending champions, have the highest projected win total in the American League at 95.5, followed closely by the New York Yankees at 94.5. Here’s a breakdown of each AL team’s win total and three of our favorite bets in this market.

New York Yankees under 94.5 wins

The Yankees are always a popular bet, but their win total may be a bit too high this year. While they won 99 games last season, they also benefited from a record-breaking home run crusade. There are reasons to expect a regression from Aaron Judge, which could impact the team’s overall run production. Additionally, the rotation is dealing with injuries to key starters Carlos Rodon and Luis Severino. While the Yankees are a dangerous team at full strength, we’re skeptical of their regular-season results.

Texas Rangers over 81.5 wins

Despite adding two of the best players in baseball over the last two offseasons, the Rangers are flying under the radar this year. This is great news for over bettors. The biggest splash this winter was signing Jacob deGrom, who has won the Cy Young award in each of his last two complete healthy seasons. The Rangers also added Nathan Eovaldi and Andrew Heaney to build out one of the most underrated staffs in baseball. With shortstop Corey Seager primed for a monster campaign in the first year of the new shift-less era, the Rangers should have enough pop to complement what looks like a legitimate rotation on paper.

Baltimore Orioles over 77.5 wins

The Orioles are being overlooked this year, despite their strong showing last season. They snapped a streak of five-straight losing seasons with an 83-win effort in 2022, and the core of that group returns to make some noise once again. Adley Rutschman was one of the best catchers in baseball after his call-up last season, while fellow prospects Gunnar Henderson and Grayson Rodriguez should help this team follow up last year’s breakout run with another winning campaign.

In conclusion, there are still plenty of opportunities to place bets on preseason win totals in the American League. While the Yankees are always a popular bet, their win total may be too high this year. The Rangers and Orioles are both underrated teams with the potential to exceed expectations.