Arizona Coyotes vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Preview, and Odds
Detroit will host the Arizona Coyotes on Thursday at 7:00 p.m. EST in Little Caesers Arena in a game they need to win. The Red Wings have lost their last six in a row and have fallen out of the final wild card spot in the East. They currently have 72 points in 65 games. Meanwhile, the Coyotes are 7th in the Central with 57 points in 66 games and are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak with a win in this contest. Detroit is the favorite at a -165 money line while the total is set at 6.5 goals.
Coyotes Crawling Back to the Bottom
The Coyotes lost their most recent game to the Minnesota Wild by a score of 4-1. Nick Bjugstad scored the lone goal for Arizona while Michael Carcone and Michael Kesselring provided the assists. Clayton Keller led the team with five shots on goal and Karel Vejmelka made 27 of 29 saves in the effort.
Arizona has been up and down this season (but mostly down), and their offense reflects that. They are currently 23rd in goals scored per game with an average of 2.89 and 29th with 27.3 shots per contest. However, they are 12th on the power play with a success rate of 22.4%. Clayton Keller has the most goals on the team with 25 and in points with 55. Matias Maccelli has the most assists on the team with 34. Liam O'Brien is leading the squad with 133 penalty minutes and Nick Schmaltz is leading the offense in ice time with an average of 19:04 per game. Schmaltz has the most power play goals with ten and Keller has 16 power play assists on the year. Keller has the most shots on the unit with 183 while the leader in +/- among offensive skaters is Bjugstad with a +6.
Currently, the Coyotes are giving up an average of 3.36 goals on defense, good for 24th in the NHL. They are allowing 31.8 shots per game, which ranks 24th in the league. The concerning part of their defense is their penalty kill, as evidenced by their game against Chicago. Currently, the Coyotes rank 26th with a 75.8% kill rate. Connor Ingram has started the majority of games for the Coyotes this season and carries a 2.86 GAA and a 90.9% save percentage. That is better than backup Karel Vejmelka, who has a 3.46 GAA and an 89.6% save percentage. Sean Durzi has been productive on the offensive end with 32 points, most among defenders. He leads in goals (8), assists (24), and time on ice (22:33) among defenders. He also has three power play goals and 11 power play assists to his name. J.J. Moser has a defense-high +2 and Josh Brown has the most penalty minutes among defenders with 57. Five players are listed on the injury report for the Coyotes including Shea Weber and Jakub Voracek. Voracek, Weber, Travis Boyd, and Bryan Little are all out indefinitely while Barrett Hayton is questionable to play.
Red Wings Reeling
Detroit's woes continued with a 7-3 defeat at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres in their latest outing. Jake Walman, Lucas Raymond, and Ben Chiarot scored the goals for the Red Wings while James Reimer made 23 of 26 saves.
Larkin is the primary player on offense for the Red Wings with 54 points and 26 goals. He is also leading the squad with ten power play goals. DeBrincat is right behind Larkin in the stat line as well with 54 points (tied with Larkin), ten power play goals, and he has the most shots with 178. However, Larkin is the only forward with 10+ power play assists on the year so far. Michael Rasmussen has a forward-high +10 and David Perron has the most penalty minutes with 47. Lucas Raymond has the most assists overall with 35 while Dylan Larkin leads the offensive skaters with 19:51 of average ice time. As a unit, the Detroit offense is ranked 6th with 3.42 goals per game and 24th with 28.8 shots per contest. Their power play is at 23.0% and ranked 10th while they are winning 49.9% of their faceoffs, ranking 16th in the NHL.
Shayne Gostisbehere has the most points among blue liners for the Red Wings with 42. He has amassed ten goals and 32 assists, along with two power play goals and 21 power play assists. He also has the most shots among defenders with 113 and Olli Maata has a +16 rating on the year. Ben Chiarot leads defenders with 48 penalty minutes and Moritz Seider has the most ice time with an average of 22:08. Seider's three goals on the power play are additionally the highest among blue-liners. As a squad, the defense of the Red Wings gives up an average of 3.35 goals per game, ranking 23rd in the NHL. They are 11th in the penalty kill with an 80.7% kill rate and 25th in shots against with an average of 32.5 per contest. Alex Lyon has earned the majority of starts for Detroit, and he has a 3.03 GAA with an 90.5% save percentage. Ville Husso, Larkin, and Joe Veleno are all the injured players for Detroit. Husso is out until the middle of April with a lower body injury while Veleno is questionable and Larkin is until the end of March with a lower body injury.
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Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:
Arizona has won six of their last seven against Detroit and the Red Wings have been slumping considerably as of late. Despite their poor performance on the road, Arizona has split their last four meetings away from home and they have won two of their last three in Detroit. The Red Wings are going to be without arguably their best offensive player and I can't trust them until they start winning again. Arizona has scored an average of 5.0 goals per game against Detroit in their last four meetings and I'm not sure Detroit can keep up with that pace offensively. Arizona has also won the last two games as underdogs, showing that they even when they are not favored they can still win.
Prediction: Arizona Coyotes Money Line (+140)
Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:
These two teams are known for their offenses as opposed to their defenses. As evidence, they have hit the over in three of their last four meetings and seven of their last ten meetings. Arizona has hit the over in five of their last seven contests overall while Detroit has hit the over in their last three of four games played. Both teams have hit the over in a majority of their outings with Detroit posting a record of 37-27-1 on the over and Arizona having a record of 36-25-5 on the over. Arizona has scored at least three goals in their last four matchups against the Red Wings and Detroit is close to the top-five in scoring offenses in the NHL. I feel more comfortable taking the over in this case.
Prediction: Over 6.5
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