Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 4/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA
Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+190) Los Angeles (-225)
Dodger Stadium is the location where the Los Angeles Dodgers (111-51 last season) will go up against the Arizona Diamondbacks (74-88 last year) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Arizona at +190 while Los Angeles is sitting at -225. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Madison Bumgarner and Clayton Kershaw.
As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks scored 4.3 runs per game, which put them at 14th in MLB. They had 702 runs and held an on-base percentage of .304. The Diamondbacks hit 262 two-baggers as a team and hit 173 baseballs out of the park. They amassed 658 RBI's as well as 1,232 base knocks over the course of last season, while their average at the plate finished at .230. Arizona had a slugging percentage of .385 and struck out 1,341 times, while taking a walk on 531 occasions.
Diamondbacks pitchers gave up 191 home runs and also 740 total runs (22nd in MLB). They walked 504 players from the other team and their FIP was 4.33 as a team last season. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.29. The Diamondbacks compiled a team ERA of 4.25 for the previous season (23rd in baseball), and they rung up 1,216 hitters.
Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers entered the game with players on base 144 times and also had 170 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers finished with 80 holds in the previous season (16th in MLB). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers compiled a save rate of 55.0% and came into the game in 143 save situations. They earned 33 saves for the previous season and blew 27 of 60 chances to save the game. The relievers inherited 198 runners over the course of last season and 32.8% of those runners crossed the plate. The Diamondbacks had dispatched 546 relievers to the hill over the course of last season.
The Arizona Diamondbacks earned a total of 4,290 putouts for the previous season, in addition to 1,370 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .985 which was 18th in MLB, and they twisted 134 double plays. The Diamondbacks turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,870 innings, which had them sitting 10th in MLB.
Bumgarner (134-121 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.59 while he has faced 9,008 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,982 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 529 free passes. His earned run average is 3.42 (834 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.145. Bumgarner has thrown 2,192 innings and has earned 2,060 strikeouts in his career.
The Los Angeles Dodgers accounted for a team OBP of .333 and a batting average of .257 last year. They were rung up on 1,374 occasions (16th in the league) and earned 1,418 base hits. Los Angeles knocked in 212 home runs over the course of last year in addition to 812 RBIs. The Dodgers had a team slugging percentage of .442 and they averaged 5.23 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They tallied 325 two-baggers, while walking 607 times and scoring 847 runs.
The Dodgers had a team WHIP of 1.048 and had a FIP of 3.45 as a team over the course of the prior season. They had a ranking of 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,114. The Los Angeles pitching staff surrendered 513 runs for the previous season while holding an ERA of 2.80 (451 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio came in at 3.60 (1,465 strikeouts vs 407 bases on balls). They gave up 152 long balls and they gave up 3.18 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB).
Finishing with 156 save situations, the Dodgers had 93 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Los Angeles had relief pitchers enter the game in 61 save opportunities and they tallied 43 saves. Their relievers took the field 143 times in high leverage situations and on 104 occasions with runners on base. Los Angeles bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 25.7% out of their 144 inherited runners. They were ranked 6th in the league holding a save rate of 70.5%, and they dispatched 563 relievers onto the diamond last season.
Los Angeles Dodgers twisted 120 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (12th in professional baseball). The Dodgers accrued 1,351 assists, 83 errors and earned a total of 4,354 putouts over the course of the prior season. In their 13,062 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers had a efficiency on defense of 72.9% (1st in the majors).
Kershaw (197-87 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 2.48 earned run average while giving up 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.46 and he has faced 10,160 hitters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 711 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.001 and having a FIP of 2.8. During his pro baseball career, Kershaw has allowed 1,955 base hits and he has 2,807 strikeouts in 2,581 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-225)
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