Expert Week 14 NFL Picks Against the Spread

— Brandon Loree (@Brandoniswrite) December 8, 2023

Dolphins (-13)

Gardner Minshew and the Colts just went into Tennessee and won 31-28 in overtime with Minshew throwing for 312 yards and two touchdowns. Things figure to get much worse for the Titans going to Miami to face Tua and the Fins.

Miami is a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS versus teams with a losing record and at 4-8 SU, the Titans fit the bill. Tennessee already has road losses of 14 points (TB) and 20 points (JAC) in recent weeks so certainly could lose by double-digits here in Miami against a Fins team coming off back-to-back wins of 30 and 21 points.

Bob Duff

Vikings (-3)

Minnesota is 6-1 ATS through the past seven games. They are 5-0-1 ATS on the road this season. As well, the Vikings are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings with AFC opposition.

Las Vegas is a solid 4-2 ATS at home in 2023. But the Raiders are 3-9 ATS in their past 12 games against NFC North squads, including a 1-2 ATS slate this season.

Ravens (-7.5)

When playing in Baltimore this season, the Ravens have frequently flexed on the opposition. They beat the Detroit Lions by 32 points and the Seattle Seahawks by 34. There was also a 14-point verdict over Cincinnati and a 16-point decision against Houston.

The Rams are 0-5 in their last five games played in cold-weather cities. LA is also 0-10 in the last 10 games facing one of the NFL’s top-10 offenses. The Rams are also 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against Baltimore.

Packers (-6.5)

Last week, the Green Bay Packers won outright as 6.5-point home underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs. This week, we’re taking the Packers to win outright and cover as 6.5-point away favorites at the New York Giants.

Everything is trending Green Bay’s way in this game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in the last five games and have won 16 games in a row in December. Meanwhile, the Giants are 1-10 in their last 11 MNF games.

Zach Reger

Browns (-3)

Even though they lost to the Rams, Joe Flacco showed that he can still throw the ball. Cleveland goes back home where they are a much better team, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

The Browns should be able to get back in the win column and make things difficult for either CJ Beathard or a less-than 100-percent Trevor Lawrence.

Bills (+1.5)

Sitting at 6-6, the Bills are in do-or-die mode. Going into Arrowhead is never easy, but Buffalo is coming off a bye, while the Chiefs lost a prime-time matchup last week.

I give the slight edge to the Bills, who are fighting for a playoff spot.

Cowboys (-3.5)

The Cowboys offense has been on a roll, and the Eagles are still going through their gauntlet. The Eagles have played meaningful game after meaningful game of late, and it finally caught up to them last week against the 49ers. While this is a divisional matchup and the Eagles will get up for this game, I think this line is telling.

Dallas will be able to exploit Philadelphia’s secondary, and they are hungry for revenge after losing a close one in Philadelphia earlier in the year.