Mets vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The New York Mets (50-61) will try to stop a six-game losing streak when hosting the Chicago Cubs (58-54) at 7:10 PM ET on Monday.

The Cubs are road underdogs (+105) against the Mets (-125). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of August 7, 2023 at 7:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs Cubs Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 73 times and won 40, or 54.8%, of those games.
• New York has entered 58 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 28-30 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 55.6% chance to win.
• Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 47 of 112 chances this season.
• The Mets are 42-70-0 ATS in their 112 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Cubs Betting Insights

• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (44.6%) in those games.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 17-22 when favored by +105 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 59 of its 112 opportunities.
• In 112 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 58-54-0 against the spread.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Mets or Cubs, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga

• Senga’s team is 6-14-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up three earned runs while allowing 11 hits.
• Senga will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 20 chances this season.
• Senga’s team has won 61.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-7).
• Senga’s team has won 11 of his 20 starts.
• In Senga’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly

• Smyly (8-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cubs, his 21st of the season.
• His most recent time out was on Thursday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the lefty went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up six hits.
• Smyly is looking to record his 14th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Cubs have a 4-5 record in Smyly’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Smyly’s team has a 10-10 record over his 20 starts.
• Smyly has started 20 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

• The Mets are 19-17 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
• New York is 12-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
• The team has totaled eight or more hits 61 times this season, and has a 38-23 record in those games.
• New York is 38-18 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 26 games this season, and are 15-11 in those contests.

Cubs Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 44 games this season and are 28-16 in those matchups.
• In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 20-3.
• In 74 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 53-21.
• Chicago has won 46 of its 60 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have won 24 of their 39 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+105)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.