Oilers vs Lightning Prediction

pickdawgz.com

18 November 2023

The Edmonton Oilers will play the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday afternoon at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Edmonton has won three games in a row and is playing their best hockey of the season, while Tampa Bay has lost three of their last four games.

Oilers Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 5-9-1 this year after they defeated the Seattle Kraken by a score of 4-3 in overtime in their last game. Edmonton trailed 3-1 in the third period, but they tied the game with 46 seconds left and won in overtime. The Oilers were out shot by a total of 35-31 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Edmonton has also defeated the Islanders and Kraken (again) during this three game winning streak. The Oilers are scoring 2.87 goals per game and they are allowing 3.67 goals against per game, while going 25% on the power play and 74.1% on the penalty kill. Leon Draisaitl has led the Oilers this year with six goals, 15 assists, and 51 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Edmonton is Stuart Skinner, who is 4-5-1 this year with a 3.23 goals against average and a .880 save percentage.

Lightning Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-6-4 this season after they defeated the Chicago Blackhawks by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 after the first period, but they scored four of the last five goals for the win. The Lightning out shot Chicago by a total of 32-14 and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay lost their previous three games to St. Louis, Carolina, and Chicago. The Lightning are scoring 3.35 goals per game and they are allowing 3.59 goals against per game, while going 30.4% on the power play and 83.7% on the penalty kill. Nikita Kucherov has led the Lightning this year with 11 goals, 13 assists, and 71 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Jonas Johansson, who is 6-4-4 this season with a 3.36 goals against average and a .895 save percentage.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts

The Lightning have won each of their last two games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Lightning's last seven games.
The 'Over 2.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in three of the Lightning's last four games following a road win.
The Lightning have won the third period in each of their last seven home games following a road win.

Edmonton Oilers Team Facts

The Oilers have lost five of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
The Oilers have lost the second period in five of their last six games following a win.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in each of the Oilers' last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

Nikita Kucherov has scored the last goal in three of his last four home appearances against the Oilers.
Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances against the Oilers at Amalie Arena.
Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in eight of the Lightning's last nine games against Pacific Division opponents at Amalie Arena.
Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances with the Lightning as underdogs.
Brayden Point ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

Connor McDavid has scored at least one goal in five of the Oilers' last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers' last nine Saturday games.
Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers' last six day games.
Zach Hyman ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 2nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.35).
The Edmonton Oilers ranks 31st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.47).
The Edmonton Oilers ranks 30th in the league in save percentage this season (.876).

Pick

Tampa Bay was able to get a much needed win in their last game, but they have lost three of their last four games and were shutout twice in that span. Edmonton started the season playing very poorly, but they have won three games in a row and have a ton of momentum. The Edmonton defense was an issue early in the season, but they have only allowed five total goals in their last three games. Edmonton is red hot right now, so I have to take them in this spot.