Rockies have 0.2 percent playoff odds, zero chance to win World Series

FanGraphs released their preseason playoff odds on Wednesday and the Atlanta Braves received one of the best, if not the best, projections ever (at least in the projections-publishing era). Their model takes individual player projections from ZiPS and Steamer, averages those, and then combines them using assumptions about playing time to get a…

Let's cut right to the chase (field): Is the matchup of the fifth-seeded wild-card Texas Rangers and the sixth-seeded wild-card Arizona Diamondbacks the most unexpected in World Series history? The series starts on Friday as Texas seeks its first title and Arizona its first since 2001. (Get ready for a lot of David Freese and Luis Gonzalez…

Zero is a huge number, in meaning at least. And with a loss last weekend to the Diamondbacks, the Yankees reached that number officially in regard to their playoff odds. In a practical sense, their fate was sealed a good bit ago, but we could never quite look at FanGraphs' postseason odds and see "0.0%", until about a week ago, and of course, when…

The SF Giants dropped three of four games against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field over the weekend. They really needed to split the series at the very least, but failed to do so. Nevertheless, they still remain in the playoff picture even if the odds are unfavorable. I do not think the organization can hang its cap on the fact that they are…

The Chicago Cubs have not been to the MLB playoffs since 2020. They are now on the verge of going back to postseason play with only a handful of series left to play for North Siders. Over at FanDuel sportsbook, the Cubs have been labeled with a tantalizing price of -1000 odds to make the playoffs. That means a bettor needs to wager $100 in order to…

The wins haven't always been pretty. Some of them have been downright gnarly. But the fact remains that the Toronto Blue Jays have been winning more games than they've been losing (barely) and improving their playoff odds day by day. Fans who have endured the, at times, tough-to-stomach 2023 season may not have much faith in this current iteration…

We've finally made it. With an off day on Thursday, the Milwaukee Brewers are finally done with the August portion of their schedule and are prepared to enter the final month of play in September (plus one game in October). And boy what a month August was. The Brewers won or tied all but two of their series in August (technically three if you count…

Aaron Boone knows the New York Yankees have their work cut out for them after being swept by the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium over the weekend. But the Yankees manager still isn't ready to call it quits with 38 games remaining. "You always got a chance," Boone told reporters after Sunday's 6-5 loss to the Red Sox. Well, FanGraphs doesn't view…

Since the Yankees are alleged to love analytics so much, they have to be discouraged by a number that finally appeared on Fangraphs during this weekend's sweep at the hands of the rival Red Sox, the very first sweep suffered at Yankee Stadium this year. Yes, the Yankees' World Series odds finally hit zero. Yes, specifically, 0.0 percent. So…

Baseball is a quirky sport. Since deciding to buy at the trade deadline the Cubs have won two series and dropped one. They won a crucial four-game series against their division rival Reds to put them right back in the division and wild card conversation before winning two of three against the Braves, who have been the best team in the National…

With a week left in July and the trade deadline right around the corner, teams are deciding whether to be buyers or sellers. That status is, of course, based on to whether said teams believe they have a chance to make this year's playoffs. The Milwaukee Brewers are one of the teams that should be buyers because of their current playoff positioning.…

Now more than halfway through the season, the Toronto Blue Jays have a few days off before the unofficial second half begins. With the dog days of summer heating up, the stretch drive to the playoffs is right around the corner. At 50-41, the Blue Jays sit third in the AL East, seven games back of the Tampa Bay Rays, and hold the second Wild Card…

Now four weeks into the marathon that is the MLB season, the Toronto Blue Jays sit third in the AL East at 16-9. While the season is only one-sixth complete, with the postseason a distant thought, the one-month mark seems like a good, if arbitrary, spot to update the Jays' playoff odds. If you missed it, we covered their preseason playoff odds, as…

Texas Rangers owner Ray Davis and General Manager Chris Young want desperately for the organization to get back to the playoffs. Bruce Bochy, his staff, and the team want to get back to the playoffs. And Texas Rangers' fans, oh do we long for the club to get back to the playoffs. But is that a goal that is attainable in 2023? According…

We are about a month into the Major League Baseball season and we have seen some impressive and surprising showings from teams early on. The Tampa Bay Rays, Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers have shot out of the gates this season, the Rays especially after starting 13-0 in 2023. While it's a long season and there are peaks and valleys…

The Colorado Rockies were one of the National League's worst teams in 2022, finishing with only 68 wins and in last place in the NL West. They continue a slow rebuild after an offseason of low-key moves. Even their owner is hoping for maybe a.500 season. Let's analyze the Colorado Rockies' World Series odds, along with their projected win total,…

After their defeat at the hands of the Astros this October, the Yankees' current pennant drought reached 13 years, taking sole possession of third place for them all-time. It also marked their fourth-longest stretch without winning a World Series title. Yet, what differentiates this period from other dry spells is that it has coincided with a good…

The Astros are eight wins away from capturing a World Series title, and based on how the postseason has played out thus far, the defending American League champions could not be better positioned to collect those eight victories. Though the Mariners went down swinging in the ALDS, the Astros were able to preserve their arms by sweeping the series,…

Contrary to what you might hear from alarmists, baseball's stretch run has retained some of its magic even with an expanded field of postseason teams. Be it issues of pride, home-field advantage, a first-round bye in the playoffs or the threat of not making the postseason at all, the final month of the regular season has multiple notable division…

Behind a masterful Kyle Bradish, who pitched seven scoreless innings, the Baltimore Orioles defeated the Cleveland Guardians 3-0 and continued their surprising quest towards the postseason in MLB. Who would have thought that a franchise that went 52-110 last season would have a positive record entering September just one year later? Not only that,…

Last February, fiery left-hander Kyle Freeland said that the Rockies carried a chip on their shoulder and were going to "shock the world and prove doubters wrong." The Rockies went on to finish 74-87 and in fourth place in the National League West, a mere 32 1/2 games behind the first-place San Francisco Giants. This year, a much tamer preseason…

On Tuesday, FanGraphs released their playoff odds predictions and Baseball Prospectus released their PECOTA projections on regular season records. Both outlets believe that the Colorado Rockies are the worst team in the National League. According to FanGraphs, the Colorado Rockies only have a 0.2 percent chance of making the playoffs, which is the…

Considering the Rockies seem truly interested in Kris Bryant and I haven't heard a whisper about them and Kyle Schwarber, let's go crazy here and assume they sign Bryant. First of all, that would be fun, and second of all, how would that leave the lineup? Bryant would slot in right field, you'd assume, so let's see how this looks for every…

If you believe in the various metrics available that predict every MLB team's odds of making the playoffs, you'll believe the Arizona Diamondbacks have about a 50/50 chance of advancing to the postseason, but are far less likely to win the National League West division. As the D-backs get set to return to the field Friday after a five-day break for…

LAS VEGAS -- Kris Bryant has been hearing about odds his whole life. That literally comes with the territory when you grow up in Las Vegas. So it was fitting that as Bryant and the Rockies arrived in his hometown for two games against the Royals at Las Vegas Ballpark in the second Big League Weekend of the spring, he was asked about, well, the…