Texans vs. Colts prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 2 best bets by proven model

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Texans vs. Colts prediction, odds, line, spread, start time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 2 best bets by proven model

An AFC South rivalry game is on tap when the Indianapolis Colts (0-1) hit the road to take on the Houston Texans (0-1) on Sunday. The game is one of six divisional matchups on the NFL Week 2 schedule. Both teams are looking to bounce back from double-digit losses in Week 1, with the Texans falling 25-9 to the Baltimore Ravens and the Colts losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-21. This game will feature a matchup between rookie quarterbacks taken in the first round if Indianapolis' Anthony Richardson (knee) is cleared to play. The Colts lead the all-time series 32-10-1. 

Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium. Houston is favored by 1 point in the latest Colts vs. Texans odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 39.5. Before making any Texans vs. Colts picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Colts and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 2 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Colts vs. Texans:

  • Texans vs. Colts spread: Texans -1
  • Texans vs. Colts over/under: 39.5 points
  • Texans vs. Colts money line: Texans -119, Colts -101
  • Texans vs. Colts picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Texans vs. Colts live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Texans can cover

Not much went right for the Texans in their Week 1 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, but for a team that is clearly in rebuilding mode, there were some positive signs. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud completed 28 of 44 passes (63.6%) for 242 yards, and didn't turn the ball over. Third-year wide receiver Nico Collins caught six passes for 80 yards on 11 targets.

Defensively, Houston showed signs of life under first-year head coach DeMeco Ryans. As a team, the Texans recorded four sacks, intercepted one pass, and recovered one fumble. More impressively, Houston held a typically explosive Baltimore offense to only 279 total yards of offense. See which team to pick here.

Why the Colts can cover

The Colts fought hard against the Jaguars in their season opener, but in the end, their youth showed and they came up short. Rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson, who suffered a minor knee injury in Week 1, showed why he was a first round pick, completing 24 of 37 pass attempts for 223 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He also rushed for 40 yards and a TD. 

Defensively, the Colts held their own for most of the game against a Jaguars offense that is among the most talented in the league. Linebacker Zaire Franklin recorded 18 total tackles and defensive tackle DeForest Buckner notched seve tackles, one sack, one forced fumble and scored a defensive touchdown. See which team to pick here.

How to make Colts vs. Texans picks

The model has simulated Texans vs. Colts 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's Colts vs. Texans pick at SportsLine.