Valspar Championship Odds, H2H Picks, and Best Bets

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Valspar Championship Odds, H2H Picks, and Best Bets

A solid if not spectacular field heads to the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort in Palm Harbor, FL, this week for the 2024 Valspar Championship.

Taylor Moore is the defending champion, finishing a shot ahead of Aaron Schenk last year, but he’s not among the top-25 favorites to win this week. The Valspar Championship odds are headed by world #5 Xander Schauffele, who’s coming off a heartbreaking second-place finish at last week’s PLAYERS.

Valspar Championship Odds 2024

After Schauffele comes world #19 Sam Burns (+1200 to win), #16 Jordan Spieth (+1400), and #28 Justin Thomas (+1400). They’re followed by a trio of players at +2200 (Brian Harman, Cameron Young, and Tony Finau).

Odds as of March 18 at DraftKings. See the best DraftKings offers before wagering on this week’s PGA action.

Brian Harman Continues Strong 2024 at PLAYERS

Dating back to last season, lefty Brian Harman has made the cut in 17 straight PGA Tournaments. He started 2024 with a T5 at The Sentry and, most recently, finished T2 at THE PLAYERS. He was also T12 at the Arnold Palmer the week prior and, at age 37, has moved up to a career-best 8th in the OWGR.

Harman currently sits 13th on the Tour in strokes gained for 2024 and has some encouraging history at the Copperhead Course. Though he missed the cut here last season, he finished T5 in 2022 at -14.

Sam Burns Has Strong History at Copperhead

It’s impossible to ignore Sam Burns’ history at the Copperhead Course. The 27-year-old won the Valspar in both 2021 and 2022. Last year, he finished sixth at -5, five strokes back of Moore. In 2019, he was T30 and, in 2018, he was T12.

Burns has also had a strong start to his 2024 season, making the cut in all seven events he’s played (giving him a streak of 12 dating back to last year) and finishing in the top ten four times in those seven tries.

He only finished T45 at THE PLAYERS last week, dropping him to 20th in strokes gained for the season, but on the whole, his recent form and his history at this course portends good things from the LSU alum.

Doug Ghim Is on the Rise

Still just 118th in the world rankings, 27-year-old Doug Ghim is currently playing the best golf of his life. Ghim has made the cut in five straight tournaments and finished top-20 in all five. He was T13 at the Farmers (-8), T12 at the Waste Management (-12), T8 and the Mexico Open (-12), T16 at the Cognizant Classic (-11), and T16 again against an uber-strong field last week at THE PLAYERS (-10).

Last year, he managed a T27 at the Valspar. His only previous appearance came in 2021 when he missed the cut at even par after two rounds.

Valspar Championship Picks for 2024

  • Brian Harman top-20 finish (+120)
  • Sam Burns top-10 finish (+150)
  • Doug Ghim top-30 finish (+110)
  • Top-five picks: 1-0 (+1.40 units)
  • Top-ten picks: 0-3 (-3.00 units)
  • Top-30 picks: 0-2 (-2.00 units)
  • H2H picks: 3-1 (+1.48 units)