Week 15 NFL Betting Picks for Dolphins-Bills and Bengals-Bucs

NFL Best Bets is a recurring series in which professional sports handicappers lend their insights and picks for the most intriguing matchups for each week of the professional football season. This week's picks are from Thomas Gable, the director of race and sportsbook at the Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa in Atlantic City, Josh Appelbaum of VSiN and Dave Rathmanner of Odds Assist.

Buffalo Bills are a 7.5-point home favorite against Miami Dolphins. The line has been moved from 7 to 7, which suggests some respected money is leaning toward the Dolphins plus the points. Big dogs +7 or more are 28-18 ATS this season. Divisional dogs are 40-26 AATS (61%) and primetime dogs 25-17 Ats (60%). Tua is 9-5 AET (64%) as a dog in his career.

The Dolphins are 0-7 straight-up and against the spread when the temperature is below 40 degrees at kickoff since 2017. The Bills have punished the Dolphins in Buffalo over the last few seasons. Gable's Guess is going to lay the points with Buffalo.

The Dolphins lost both games on the West Coast swing. They are 3-4 on road this season and have lost five straight games in Buffalo. The Dolphins are playing in the cold and snowy weather. Buffalo lost by 2 points in Miami earlier this year.

Dallas Cowboys are a 6-point road favorite at Jacksonville Jaguars. The Cowboys have since dropped to a -4.5 point favorite. Jacksonville is a good team (8-5) against a bad team, (5-8). Appelbaum will bet the Jaguars +4 at home.

The Cowboys are playing for the NFC East title. They need to beat the Eagles before their Christmas Eve game. The Jaguars are coming off a dominant performance against Tennessee. Trevor Lawrence had his best game to date with 368 yards and four touchdowns.

Dallas Cowboys were 17-point favorites over the Houston Texans last week. Now they have to travel on the road for an out-of-conference game. Dallas is just 2-3 in their last five as the favorite. Jacksonville is 3-2 in the last 5 as an underdog.

The Dallas Cowboys are the team to bet on for the NFL's Week 15.

Tennessee Titans are a 3-point favorite at Los Angeles Chargers. The Titans have lost three straight games. Mike Vrabel is 4-3 ATS as a dog this season and 22-14 AATS in his career.

The Titans have lost three straight games and have been blown out in their last two. They haven't forced a turnover since mid-November and they surrender the second-most passing yards per game of any defense in the league. Now they face a healthy Chargers team with both Mike Williams and Keenan Allen back as options for Justin Herbert.

The Titans have lost three in a row and are 7-6. The Chargers are 8-5 and have won two of three games. Both teams are struggling with the pass defense. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are back from injury for the Chargers.

The under is the betting pick for Dolphins-Bills and Bengals- Buccaneers.

Cincinnati Bengals are a 3-point road favorite at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The public is hammering Cincinnati. Appelbaum has to stay true to his blueprint and take Brady +3.5.

Bengals are rounding into form before the playoffs. The defense is playing well. Tampa is in a division no one wants to win and they're not favored to make it to the postseason.

Bengals and Buccaneers are playing each other on Sunday. The Bengals are the better team on defense, while the Buccaneers have the fifth-worst offense in the league. Bengals receivers Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins are questionable to play, and tight end Hayden Hurst is unlikely to. Tampa has the sixth-best pass defense in NFL, allowing only 195.3 yards per game.

The last stand is Tampa's last hope against the Dolphins.

New York Giants are playing Washington Commanders. The Commander's are a favorite, but the line has moved further away from them. Appelbaum will lay the points with Washington -4.5.

The Giants started off 6-1, but no one thought they were that good. The Giants' playoff hopes rest on this game. Washington is coming off their bye week and Chase Young is expected to make his debut.

The Commanders and Giants played to a 20-20 tie two weeks ago. The Commander's are 6-1-0 in their last 8 games. They are favored to cover the -4.5 at home.