2022 Stanley Cup Final: Lightning vs. Avalanche odds, NHL picks, Game 5 prediction from proven hockey model

Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche are playing in the Stanley Cup Final in 2022. Tampa Bay is seeking a third straight championship. Colorado is aiming to bring the Cup to Denver for the first time since 2001. The Avs lead the series by a 3-1 margin and can clinch with a win at home.

The model has its sights on Avs vs. Lightning. The money line is Avalanche -190, the over-under is 6 goals. Tampa Bay won 24-15-2 in regular season road games, while Colorado won 32-5-4 in home games.

Lightning vs. Avalanche money line is Lightning -190, Avalanche -1.5. Lightning won 24-15-2 in regular season road games, Colorado won 32-5-4 in home games.

The Avalanche are winning the Stanley Cup Final. They are 15-3 in the playoffs with eight wins in last nine games. The team is averaging 4.50 goals per game in this postseason. They have more than 200 points in Stanley Cups. Lightning and Avalanche play each other in Game 5 on Wednesday. NHL expert has a proven hockey model that predicts the winner.

Tampa Bay Lightning are the first team since Edmonton in the 1970s to reach the Stanley Cup Final three straight times. The Lightning overcame a 3-2 deficit earlier in this series. Tampa Bay's offense is dynamic, averaging 3.48 goals per game in regular season and ranking No. 3 in NHL in shooting percentage at 11.2 percent. Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman are key to the Lightning's success.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. It also says one side of the money line has all the value.