Avalanche vs. Lightning odds, prediction: 2022 Stanley Cup Final picks, Game 6 bets from expert on 137-73 run

Tampa Bay Lightning host Colorado Avalanche in Game 6 on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET. The Lightning are trying to win their third straight Stanley Cup. Colorado is seeking their first Stanley cup since 2000-01. Tampa Bay has won three Stanley Cups since 2003-04. SportsLine's Matt Severance is Sportsbook's top NHL handicapper. He has returned almost $3,000 for $100 players on his last 214 NHL picks.

SportsLine's Mike Severance has set his sights on Avs vs. Lightning and has made his picks and NHL playoff predictions. The money line is Colorado -115, Tampa Bay -105, and the puck line: Colorado +1.5, +210.

Avalanche vs. Lightning is a Stanley Cup Final match-up. Colorado is the favorite.

Colorado is averaging 4.4 goals per game in the playoffs, while Tampa Bay is scoring 3.0 per contest. The Avalanche outshot the Lightning in four of the five games and have a 163-129 edge overall in this series. Cale Makar, recently named the Norris Trophy winner as the league's best defenseman at age 23, leads the team with 29 points. Nathan MacKinnon, now a veteran at 26, has a team-high 12 goals, and Gabriel Langeskong has 11 goals.

Tampa Bay has shown the heart of a champion throughout the postseason. Ondrej Palat got the game-winner Friday night. Nikita Kucherov scored his first goal of the Stanley Cup Final. The Lightning won 6-2 in Game 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy has a 2.54 goals-against average and 92.1 save percentage in the playoffs.

Severance has analyzed the Lightning vs. Avalanche game from every angle and he's leaning under on the goal total. Severance is sharing his analysis and which side of the Game 6 money line to back at SportsLine.