2022 Sugar Bowl prediction, odds, line, spread: Alabama vs. Kansas State picks, best bets from proven model

No. 9 Kansas State Wildcats take on No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2022 Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. The Wildcats are 10-3 with an active four-game winning streak and a Big 12 championship win over TCU. Alabama is 10, with three straight victories to end the regular season. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Crimson Crimson Tides as 7.5-point favorites. Vegas thinks the total number of points will be 57.

SportsLine's computer model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Kansas State and has made its picks and predictions. The model is using the college football odds and trends for Kansas St. vs Alabama.

Alabama and Kansas State are playing in the Sugar Bowl. The Crimson Tide are 5-6-1 against the spread this season. KSU is 9-3-2 against spreads this year.

Alabama is playing in the Sugar Bowl. The Crimson Tide are averaging 40.8 points per game and 475 yards per contest. On defense, Alabama is giving up only 18.0 points and 311.3 yards. Will Anderson Jr. has five sacks in last five games.

Kansas State has two-way strengths this season. The Wildcats led the Big 12 in giving up only 20.1 points per game and ranked in the top three in total yards allowed (365.8 per games), passing yards (216.9 pergame) and sacks (19). On the offensive side, Kansas State is averaging 33.2 points a game.

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total. It projects the teams to combine for 61 points.