2023 Joe Burrow futures: Odds and best bets for Bengals QB

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Joe Burrow is gearing up for another big season where he's not only got a great shot at winning NFL MVP, but also a Super Bowl.

We’ll dive deeper into Burrow’s futures odds and discuss reasons to bet or fade his chances in the wake of his training camp calf strain.

Joe Burrow 2023 MVP odds: +750 or better

The NFL world held its breath when Burrow went down with a non-contact calf injury in a training camp practice.

The immediate fear was an Achilles tear, but Burrow was ultimately diagnosed with a calf strain that is expected to keep him out several weeks.

But Burrow’s MVP odds did not lengthen and remain in line with those of Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. In fact, at Caesars, Burrows odds are shorter than Mahomes’ and Allen’s.

Calf strain notwithstanding, Burrow is a top 2023 NFL MVP candidate for a reason. His career trajectory puts him squarely in position to emerge as the best player in football.

The Bengals’ Super Bowl odds remain among the game’s shortest, further suggesting a lack of concern regarding Burrow’s 2023 outlook in the wake of his injury.

Burrow increased his pass attempts from 2021 to 2022, his first two full seasons in the league. Cincinnati, additionally, deployed a more pass-heavy attack in 2022.

It’s not irresponsible to anticipate another jump in passing volume. In fact, it’s downright reasonable to envision the Bengals placing more on his shoulders.

For starters, Burrow is a candidate to reset the quarterback market when he eventually signs a long-term contract.

Perhaps that means 650 pass attempts. Key word is "perhaps" – each individual bettor needs to determine for him/herself how much additional pass volume is in Burrow’s immediate future.

But considering the statistical increases we’ve already seen, there’s no need to be bearish.

Furthermore, consider the addition of left tackle Orlando Brown and the presence of Ja’Marr Chase, one of the league’s very best non-quarterbacks.

The investment in Brown further suggests there will be an increased willingness to keep the ball in Burrow’s hands. And with a talent like Chase in the fold – not to mention the more-than-capable stable of pass-catchers behind him – it only makes sense to let Burrow sling it early and often.

From a betting perspective, Burrow backers can at least feel confident that the pieces are in place for him to reach the 5,000-yard and 40-touchdown plateaus.

Combine that with a possible AFC North title, and it’s easy to envision walking away with $850 with a $100 wager on Burrow’s +750 MVP odds.

Joe Burrow futures odds: Props and best bets for 2023

To be completely fair and transparent, we’re not going to pan the idea of betting Burrow’s odds to win MVP.

There are a number of positive factors in his favor, but that doesn’t mean bettors should settle for a good bet if a better wager is available.

Consider these Burrow bets if you’re not sold on his NFL MVP odds.

Joe Burrow passing props: Over 32.5 passing touchdowns (-112 or better) and Over 4300.5 passing yards (-112 or better)

Burrow has reached 33 touchdown passes and 4,301 passing yards – in each of the last two seasons.

We’re not in the habit of labeling bets as “locks," but on the “safe-to-risky” spectrum, these are two that should allow bettors to rest with a bit of ease.

Joe Burrow prop odds: Burrow to throw for most regular season passing yards (+700 or better)

Burrow finished top six in passing yards in each of the last two seasons, so a wager on him leading the league requires a leap of faith. Well, maybe more of a bunny hop than a broad jump. Ace wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is a legitimate Offensive Player of the Year candidate and capable of helping Burrow push his passing yardage to the top of the league.

Joe Burrow props: Burrow to throw for most regular-season passing TDs (+600 or better)

Chase is the headliner among Burrow’s pass-catchers, but he’s part of a strong cast overall.

Tee Higgins is capable of big plays as a downfield threat and red zone target. Tyler Boyd is averaging 12.7 yards per reception since 2021. Plus, tight end Irv Smith Jr. offers some untapped promise at tight end.

Burrow has yet to eclipse 40 touchdown passes, but in spite of that, it’s reasonable to anticipate him reaching that mark in 2023 and pacing his peers in that department.

Joe Burrow futures props

• Joe Burrow 2023 MVP odds: +750 or better
• Joe Burrow passing props: Over 32.5 passing touchdowns (-112 or better) and Over 4300.5 passing yards (-112 or better)
• Joe Burrow prop odds: Burrow to throw for most regular season passing yards (+700 or better)
• Joe Burrow props: Burrow to throw for most regular-season passing TDs (+600 or better)

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Craig Williams is a Charlotte-based content creator for Catena Media, who focuses on betting content and analysis. He draws from his professional experience that spans the gaming, fantasy, and sports business industries. Craig is an avid fan of basketball, baseball, football, and soccer, though don’t try to pin him down on a favorite — the No. 1 spot is rented, not owned.