Ja'Marr Chase NFL Player Props, Odds Week 15: Predictions for Vikings vs. Bengals
Our Ja'Marr Chase NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps examine whether the star Cincinnati Bengals wideout can thrive on Saturday against the Minnesota Vikings.
Inconsistencies are expected when a quarterback is making his first NFL starts, and that can often come with a trickle-down effect.
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase hasn't been immune to that since Jake Browning took over under center. Chase has erupted for 149 receiving yards and posted a still solid 81 yards during two of Browning's three starts since Joe Burrow went down with a season-ending injury. But then he crashed back down to earth in Week 14 with only 29 yards on three catches.
Which version of the Browning-Chase connection will we get in Week 15 when the Bengals clash with the Minnesota Vikings?
In addition to our Vikings vs. Bengals prediction and Vikings vs. Bengals player props, here are our best Ja'Marr Chase NFL player prop predictions for the Vikings vs. Bengals Week 15 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Ja'Marr Chase NFL player prop predictions for Week 15
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Ja'Marr Chase player props
Ja'Marr Chase Over 5.5 receptions (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Vikings' defense is stingy overall while allowing the fourth-fewest points per game at 18.6. But the unit has been susceptible when defending wideouts while tied for the fourth-most receptions allowed to the position.
Leaning on a two-time Pro Bowler during your first extended NFL action seems rather wise, and Browning is only a week removed from doing exactly that during a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars while targeting Chase 12 times. That volume then cratered to four targets in Week 15, though an ankle injury Chase has since recovered from was surely a factor.
Chase has been on the other end for a staggering 46.5% of Browning's air yards since he took over at quarterback. The veteran is plenty capable of creating his own yardage after short passes too, as Chase is second leaguewide with 512 yards after the catch.
The pass-catcher's likely high-volume opportunities both deep and in the short passing game make this an appealing play, along with the Vikings' generosity to wide receivers. Topping it all off, NumberFire projects Chase to finish with 6.2 receptions.
Most of our best sports betting sites are currently offering this prop at -130, making bet365 the clear destination for this wager.
Ja'Marr Chase Over 74.5 receiving yards (+140 via bet365)
The Vikings' pass defense has been clamping down recently, giving up just 192.5 yards over the team's past four games.
However, that effectiveness has been more than baked into the standard receiving yardage lines for Chase. Those lines sit at 63.5 or 64.5 receiving yards across our best sportsbooks, far beneath his overall average of 84 yards per outing. Those totals are also a fair distance below the projection models that forecast him for just over 70 yards on Saturday.
So with that in mind, let's get aggressive and plunge into the alternative markets.
This alt line from bet365 comes with implied odds of 41.7% for a mark Chase has hit seven times in 2023 (53.8%). More importantly, he's cashed the Over twice with Browning as Cincinnati's signal-caller.
Ja'Marr Chase to score a touchdown (+150 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Vikings may not give up many points, and the team has allowed just three touchdowns over its last four games. However, all three scores went to wide receivers, and two of those games came against the poor quarterback play from the Las Vegas Raiders and New Orleans Saints.
Chase is tied for second leaguewide among wide receivers with 20 red-zone targets, making him one of just three wideouts to register 20-plus looks near the end zone in 2023. He's scored four of his seven touchdowns through that path, and Chase is the faraway receiving touchdown leader for the Bengals (a group of others sit at two). There's a magnetizing feel between Chase and whichever quarterback is under center for the Bengals, especially a backup in Browning who's often targeting him in general.
Most of our best live betting sites are offering this prop in the +130 to +140 range, making the +150 price from Caesars an outlier and the clear go-to option.
Ja'Marr Chase player prop picks made 12/15/2023 at 11:15 a.m. ET.
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