2023 Valspar Championship Picks & Odds: Burns Eyes Three-Peat

Sam Burns won for the first time on the PGA Tour here at the Valspar Championship in 2021. He then successfully defended his title in 2022 and looks to make it three in a row this week. See where he stands in our Valspar Championship odds below.

The Florida Swing continues at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course for the Valspar Championship following a dominant win from Scottie Scheffler at THE PLAYERS that saw him reclaim World No. 1.

Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth are the favorites on the opening odds board, but all eyes should be on back-to-back defending champion Sam Burns, who seeks the first three-peat on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker at the John Deere Classic (2009-2011). 

We break down his chances and more in our Valspar Championship betting preview below, including outright odds, free golf picks, and more. 

Odds to win 2023 Valspar Championship

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Valspar Championship field and favorites

This week's field has just four of the OWGR Top 20 — Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns, and Matt Fitzpatrick — but that's to be expected the week after THE PLAYERS Championship. Those four are occupying the top spots on the board and are the only ones available at better than 20/1 odds. 

The familiar American duo of Thomas (T3 last year) and Spieth (2015 winner) lead the way at +1,100 and +1,200, respectively, while back-to-back champion Sam Burns sits third at +1,600. The 26-year-old secured his first Tour victory here in 2021 and successfully defended a year ago, edging out Davis Riley in a playoff. 

Matt Fitzpatrick rounds out the top tier at +1,800. The reigning U.S. Open champion missed the cut at TPC Sawgrass last week but finished T5 here a year ago with four rounds of 68 or better.

2021 runner-up Keegan Bradley (+2,500) is in the field this week, as is Davis Riley (+3,500) after falling in a playoff this time last year. Canadian Adam Hadwin is also among the favorites at +2,800 — he won the event back in 2017.

Valspar Championship picks and predictions

Covers golf betting tools

Let's take a look at some recent Valspar Championship winners and their closing odds to win:

Valspar Championship Odds FAQs

Justin Thomas is the solo betting favorite to win the 2023 Valspar Championship at +1,100, with Jordan Spieth close behind at +1,200.

The Valspar Championship is held at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club's Copperhead Course. The host of the Valspar Championship since the tournament's conception in 2000, the 7,209-yard Par-71 Copperhead Course was opened in 1974 and was designed by Larry Packard.

Sam Burns won the 2022 Valspar Championship, successfully defending his 2021 title. He's available at +1,600 to win for the third straight year.

The 2023 Valspar Championship purse is $8.1 million, with $1.458 million going to the winner.