2023 Wimbledon Women's Final Picks & Best Bets for Jabeur vs Vondrousova
No. 6 Ons Jabeur has come full circle since making her Grand Slam final debut last year at Wimbledon. The Tunisian trailblazer reaches a second consecutive final (third overall major final) at the All England Club, where she’ll face unseeded Marketa Vondrousova in the title decider on Saturday, July 15.
If the markets were any indication, the third crack could very well be the charm. Jabeur is the favorite to win across the exchange as BetMGM prices her at -210 while both Caesars and FanDuel price her at -220.
However, Vondrousova, an Olympic Silver medalist that has played in a major final once before, is no wilting flower. She’ll fancy her chances even if the markets don’t and that gives vim to her underdog odds, which range from +170 to +180 depending on the preferred betting apps in question.
As ever we’re on top of the action here at Bookies.com, bringing you daily predictions and from the world’s oldest and most prestigious Grand Slam.
So, join us as we dive into the ladies’ game one last time this year with our Wimbledon Day 13 Predictions, complete with tennis odds from a stable of trusted sportsbooks.
Ons Jabeur vs Marketa Vondrousova
Jabeur, once again, finds herself on the cusp of making history for her country, Arab women and the African continent in Saturday’s title decider. She came oh so close last year in her maiden final appearance at the All England Club after winning the first set, but Rybakina rallied to win in three.
Arguably, this year, Jabeur’s path into the final was more difficult than last year, which saw a watered-down field arrive at SW!9 following Wimbledon’s controversial ban on Russian and Belarussian players.
In addition, there were also some question marks regarding the 28-year-old Tunisian’s fitness and form after a rather mediocre first half of the season that was marred by injuries as well.
Jabeur quickly quashed any doubts by breezing through the first two rounds and knocking off Grand Slam champions in succession – Bianca Andreescu, Petra Kvitova, Elena Rybakina and Aryna Sabalenka – from the third round onwards.
Of these, her most stunning performance was a 6-0, 6-3 evisceration of former two-time Wimbledon champion Kvitova in the R16. She was also exceptional against defending champion Rybakina, rallying after losing the first set to win 6-7(5), 6-4, 6-1 in the quarterfinals.
But, perhaps, her most noteworthy victory was the one that punched her ticket into the final. Jabeur was spellbinding against Sabalenka, the 2023 Australian Open champion, battling from a set down and 2-4 down in the third set to win 6-7(5), 6-4, 6-3 in Thursday’s semifinals.
Vondrousova, 24, has coasted under the radar in London, arriving seemingly out of nowhere into her second major final. Previously, the lefty Czech never made it beyond the second round at the All England Club never mind the second week.
Vondrousova’s stunning victory over No. 12 Veronkia Kudermetova in the second round proved to be the springboard for the inspired run that saw her take out No, 20 Donna Vekic, No. 32 Maria Bouzkova and No. 4 Jessica Pegula as well.
Clearly, the absence of grass pedigree on the unseeded Vondrousova’s resume is a moot point now, having mowed through four seeded players in a row and the vogue favorite Elina Svitolina 6-3, 6-3 in the semifinals.
Moreover, Vondrousova has twice experienced the pressure of big matches on the game’s biggest stages, having played in the 2019 French Open final (l. to Ashley Barty) and the Gold medal match at the Tokyo Olympics (l. to Belinda Bencic) in 2021 (pushed back a year by the covid-19 pandemic).
As far as the Xs and Os are concerned, Vondrousova is level with Jabeur 3-3 in their head-to-heads and she has beaten Jabeur twice already this year. Though both wins came at the start of the year when Jabeur was wholly off form and struggling with injuries.
Jabeur owns the only win between them on grass, having taken the measure of the Czech in Eastbourne two years ago.
All told it’s easy to understand why the market tips towards Jabeur, but Vondrousova is equally capable too. Thus, this is more of a tossup between two players that are eager to join an illustrious championship circle than the market would have it.
Without a doubt, both have the talent, quality, and skill to hoist the Venus Rose Dish when all is said and done. Alas, there can only be one winner.
If we’re reading the signs correctly, then destiny might very well be calling Jabeur after all. But expect Vondrousova to give her a run for her money.
Wimbledon Best Bet: Jabeur to win at
Wimbledon Best Bet: Vondrousova +3.5
