2024 Players Championship Sleeper Picks & Predictions: Best Long-Shot Targets for TPC Sawgrass

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11 March 2024

2024 Players Championship Sleeper Picks & Predictions: Best Long-Shot Targets for TPC Sawgrass

The unofficial fifth major tees off Thursday at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., and we're making our Players Championship sleeper picks and predictions with Scottie Scheffler set as the prohibitive betting favorite by the Players Championship odds from our best golf betting sites.

Following Scottie Scheffler's victory in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the 2024 PGA Tour season heats up with this week's Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla.

Scheffler's previous PGA Tour victory was the 2023 Players Championship, and he'll defend that title this week in the wake of his victory in the Signature Event. Of course, Scheffler has remained firmly in the No. 1 spot in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR).

As one may expect, the World No. 1 is a prohibitive betting favorite this week for all of the above reasons, and his outright odds are offered as low as +500 across our best sports betting sites. That said, long-shot winners have been the theme of the PGA Tour season thus far, and that's where we'll be looking with our Players Championship sleeper picks and predictions.

Players Championship sleepers and long shots

Jason Day

Day enters this week at No. 21 in the OWGR on the heels of a T-36 in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He finished alone in ninth at the Genesis Invitational as the previous Signature Event, and the former World No. 1 can still contend against the PGA Tour's best after a T-2 in last year's British Open.

Day enters the 2024 Players Championship as a great course fit. He leads the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage from this week's key distance of inside 125 yards. He has 23 birdies from 51 such approach shots. Day's been gaining strokes in all key areas across his last 12 measured rounds, including on and around the greens.

After winning this event in 2016, Day tied for fifth in 2018 and for eighth in 2019. He most recently tied for 19th last year at TPC Sawgrass.

His outright odds are as low as +4000, so be sure to get this +5000 ticket via BetMGM.

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Lucas Glover

Glover enters this week at No. 39 in the OWGR after finishing the 2023 calendar year ranked 30th. A two-time winner late last season, his best results through six events to start 2024 were a T-29 in the season-opening Sentry and his T-30 finish last week.

It's been poor putting that has hurt Glover of late after that was a strength of his game during his resurgence last season. He has remained an excellent ball-striker, and we're targeting his driving accuracy at the demanding TPC Sawgrass. Glover also ranks 26th this season in birdie-or-better percentage from inside of 125 yards.

The former major winner has a best result of third place in this event in 2010. However, his 42 career rounds at TPC Sawgrass rank seventh in this field. The par 72 course is relatively short at 7,275 yards, so we can trust Glover to lean on that experience and navigate his way around the familiar venue.

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