WM Phoenix Open Sleepers & Long-Shot Picks: Dark-Horse Targets for TPC Scottsdale

The WM Phoenix Open annually serves as the appetizer on Super Bowl Sunday and there's no better way to set the table than with our sleeper and long-shot picks for The People's Open based on the odds from our best golf betting sites.

Scottie Scheffler - still comfortably perched at No. 1 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) - enters the week as the consensus betting favorite by the WM Phoenix Open odds. But where's the fun in that? 

Long shots have been the theme of this PGA Tour season, and we're staying far away from Scheffler's odds (ranging from +450 to +500 across our best sports betting sites) with our top WM Phoenix Open sleepers and long-shot picks.

WM Phoenix Open sleepers and long-shot picks

Keith Mitchell

Mitchell has played this event each of the past five years with a top showing of T-10 in 2022. He has been excellent off the tee at TPC Scottsdale but his putter betrayed him in last year's T-42 finish.

"Cashmere" Keith has struggled with consistency for much of his PGA Tour career, but he tied for ninth in The American Express before a missed cut in the Farmers Insurance Open and last week's T-54 finish at Pebble Beach. Mitchell has gained strokes in all key statistics across his last eight measured rounds, including 0.90 strokes gained: off-the-tee which ranks fifth in this field.

Mitchell's odds are as low as +8000 elsewhere, so be sure to grab this outlier +10000 ticket from FanDuel. A $10 bet would return a profit of $1,000 with a win for Mitchell.

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

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Daniel Berger

Once ranked as high as 12th in the OWGR, Berger enters this week at No. 644 in the world. After injuries derailed his last season and a half on the PGA Tour, Berger returned to play with a T-39 finish in The American Express before missing the cut in the Farmers Insurance Open.

In his limited action, Berger has been strong with his irons and has shown flashes of his old putting stroke. He'll be among the most motivated of the big names in this field, as he tries to improve his world ranking and secure PGA Tour status before his major medical extension expires.

The 30-year-old is always a fan favorite and while he missed the cut in three of his last four appearances in this event, he still has three top-10 finishes in eight attempts at conquering TPC Scottsdale since 2015. Berger has four career PGA Tour wins with his last coming in 2021 at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and that followed a missed cut in the Phoenix Open. 

We're counting on Berger being fully healthy and returning to his form of old. If that happens, this +15000 ticket in a field that's already seen two of the top three pre-tournament favorites withdraw holds plenty of value.

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