AC Milan vs Empoli prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Serie A match Friday

The Sporting News
 

AC Milan, on the heels of a potentially season-defining win over Napoli, look to lock in that momentum and carry it forward as they host Empoli at the San Siro in a Friday league match.

Milan took a huge step towards securing Champions League safety next season with the shock 4-0 victory over the title frontrunners, with a rematch in European play to come in just a few days. Milan have been inconsistent all season, so maintaining momentum in this match will be of critical importance, lest they see it evaporate in a poor league result just before their first leg.

Empoli are, for all intents and purposes, safe from relegation, sitting in 14th with 31 points, 12 ahead of the drop zone. Still, their form has been concerning, winless in eight straight before beating Lecce 1-0 in their most recent result.

The Sporting News football betting expert Kyle Bonn shares his best bets, props, and high risk/high return fliers for some of the biggest matches in the sport each week. Since the start of 2023, his best bets have hit 52.5% of the time, while his overall selections have generated a profit of over 39 units thus far. He has also correctly predicted 44 of 78 match outcomes via his 3-way moneyline leans to date.

AC Milan vs Empoli match facts

  • Date: Friday, April 7
  • Kickoff Time: 3:00 pm ET / 8:00 pm BST / 5:00 am AEST (Sat, Apr. 8)
  • Location: San Siro Stadium (Milan, Italy)
  • Official: Matteo Marcenaro
  • Last meeting: Empoli 1-3 AC Milan (Oct. 1, 2022 | Serie A)

AC Milan vs Empoli prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: AC Milan (-250)
  • Against the spread lean: AC Milan -1.5 (+105)
  • Score prediction: AC Milan 3-1 Empoli

AC Milan have struggled, but the win over Napoli should provide a big boost, and they have dominated Empoli in recent years.

While it's tough to trust this AC Milan team right now, even after the big last result, there's not much to point to a let down in this match.

AC Milan vs Empoli: best bet

  • Pick: Under 2.5 goals
  • Odds: +105 (BetMGM)

AC Milan's best attacker Brahim Diaz is dealing with an injury, and while Stefano Pioli confirmed he will be available for this match, it would be reckless to start him from the opening whistle. While Alexis Saelemaekers was exceptional against Napoli, his season as a whole has been underwhelming, as it has for Charles de Ketelaere.

Prior to the Napoli win, Milan had scored just three goals over their previous four matches, including against Udinese and Fiorentina. They will be saving energy for European games coming up, so this should be a defensive battle.